TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13063205
Played Sep 2Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
3.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117611611––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:48 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
911117611611––
H2H Maksymilian Rus 2–4 Mariusz Adamus Maksymilian Rus has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (70%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Adamus
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1090 vs Adamus 1360
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 270 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 40% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 20% vs Adamus 70%
Adamus
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus -2 · Adamus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 3.10 / Adamus 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Adamus)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13063205
Rus3.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog30% won 69 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Adamus1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 219 of 405
Up 2–0, closes it87% 82 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it72% 147 of 203
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRus2wins
AwayAdamus4wins
3 of 6 to a deciderAdamus leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRusn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus2Adamus4n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
S2Rus3Adamus3n = 6split evenly
S3Rus5Adamus1n = 6Rus took 5 of 6
S4Rus1Adamus4n = 5Adamus took 4 of 5
S5Rus1Adamus2n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricRusAdamusR − ABasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match41.044.5−3.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 381 vs 784 / 161631.8%48.5%121 / 381 vs 784 / 1616Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusRus 3.10/Adamus 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.5%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus—611112112M. Adamus—119911133
LAug 25 · 10:20M. Rus—65111162M. Adamus—111199113
WJul 7 · 15:05M. Rus—1181111113M. Adamus—81161382
WJul 7 · 09:05M. Rus—1115113M. Adamus—61390
LJul 2 · 15:05M. Rus—1291181M. Adamus—14118113
LJul 2 · 09:05M. Rus—5111381M. Adamus—11815113
M. Rus10
WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus2.7541111113W. Buczynski1.38115871LSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus3.75611112112M. Adamus1.22119911133WSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123LAug 25 · 17:05M. Rus2.7067121362P. Kurek1.4011111011113
M. Adamus10
LSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113WSep 7 · 09:50K. Hetnar1.61511119102M. Adamus2.20115611123WSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161WSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130WSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:35M. Adamus1.671111123M. Baron2.1098100LSep 5 · 01:00M. Adamus1.57411881G. Sawicki2.2511911113WSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus3.75611112112M. Adamus1.22119911133
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