TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13062832
Played Sep 2Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411115118117––
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:38 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeWitold Buczynski to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
68 points played in total.
Set by set
411115118117––
H2H Maksymilian Rus 6–4 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (67%)
Buczynski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Rus
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1080 vs Buczynski 1313
Buczynski
Wrong
both rated, 234 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 20% vs Buczynski 80%
Buczynski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 10% vs Buczynski 50%
Buczynski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus -1 · Buczynski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Buczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rus form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.75 / Buczynski 1.38
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Buczynski)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13062832
Rus2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 69 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back15% 22 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 90
Buczynski1.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 38 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it67% 28 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus6wins
AwayBuczynski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRus leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRus55.6%5 of 9
AwayBuczynskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus9Buczynski1n = 10Rus took 9 of 10
S2Rus3Buczynski7n = 10Buczynski took 7 of 10
S3Rus4Buczynski6n = 10Buczynski took 6 of 10
S4Rus4Buczynski5n = 9Buczynski took 5 of 9
S5Rus4Buczynski2n = 6Rus took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusBuczynskiR − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match43.543.6−0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 378 vs 432 / 112231.8%38.5%120 / 378 vs 432 / 1122Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiRus 2.75/Buczynski 1.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 9 · 14:20M. Rus—12311113W. Buczynski—1011871
WJun 9 · 06:20M. Rus—411116113W. Buczynski—11871162
LMay 12 · 16:40M. Rus—1111111192W. Buczynski—513913113
LMay 12 · 10:40M. Rus—11117952W. Buczynski—681111113
WApr 14 · 12:20M. Rus—127513113W. Buczynski—1011111172
LApr 14 · 08:20M. Rus—1111671W. Buczynski—71311113
LDec 31 · 12:55M. Rus—1138131W. Buczynski—91111153
WDec 31 · 06:55M. Rus—1391311123W. Buczynski—1111152102
WDec 2 · 14:30M. Rus—1111123W. Buczynski—86100
WDec 2 · 08:30M. Rus—137611123W. Buczynski—1111115102
M. Rus10
WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus3.10911661M. Adamus1.3011711113LSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152LSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus3.75611112112M. Adamus1.22119911133WSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123LAug 25 · 17:05M. Rus2.7067121362P. Kurek1.4011111011113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 5 · 16:40J. Jesiek1.7611690W. Buczynski1.901311113WSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123WSep 5 · 13:10R. Piechnik1.757990W. Buczynski1.951111113WSep 5 · 11:30M. Lach1.24111091182W. Buczynski3.80512118113WSep 5 · 10:40K. Juszczyk1.407750W. Buczynski2.651111113WSep 5 · 09:55P. Slosarczyk1.9512441182W. Buczynski1.751011118113WSep 5 · 07:55R. Idaczyk1.7561181192W. Buczynski1.95116115113LSep 5 · 07:10M. Lach1.47711115143W. Buczynski2.45113511122LSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890
Upcoming Matches
M. Rus
Nothing scheduled
W. Buczynski1 of 1 neutral
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