TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13062451
Played Sep 2Finished
Boguslaw Madej
Home
1.93
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1197111175111012
Maksymilian Rus
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBoguslaw Madej to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1197111175111012
H2H Boguslaw Madej 20–19 Maksymilian Rus Maksymilian Rus has won 19 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Rus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-19 in 39
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madej 1254 vs Rus 1090
Madej
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madej 40% vs Rus 0%
Madej
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madej 50% vs Rus 10%
Madej
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Madej +1 · Rus -5
Rus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Madej)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rus form (0%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadej 1.93 / Rus 1.75
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Madej)+6.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13062451
Madej1.93
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Rus1.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite29% won 5 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadej5wins
AwayRus5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadej66.7%4 of 6
AwayRus75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madej6Rus4n = 10Madej took 6 of 10
S2Madej5Rus5n = 10split evenly
S3Madej6Rus4n = 10Madej took 6 of 10
S4Madej3Rus5n = 8Rus took 5 of 8
S5Madej3Rus4n = 7Rus took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadejRusM − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.245.1+0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadejRusBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 385 vs 122 / 38636.1%31.6%139 / 385 vs 122 / 386Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MadejMadej 1.93/Rus 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Madej · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 14:20B. Madej—141113113M. Rus—1691161
LSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej—117115102M. Rus—911711123
WAug 25 · 12:45B. Madej—149913133M. Rus—12111111112
WAug 25 · 06:20B. Madej—117129113M. Rus—911101142
WAug 18 · 14:20B. Madej—1112158113M. Rus—810171182
WAug 18 · 06:20B. Madej—1111113M. Rus—7380
LJul 28 · 14:20B. Madej—91311742M. Rus—1111911113
LJul 28 · 06:20B. Madej—99111362M. Rus—1111811113
LJul 21 · 14:20B. Madej—11119692M. Rus—781111113
LJul 21 · 06:20B. Madej—6890M. Rus—1111113
B. Madej10
WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda1.3591111972B. Madej2.85119911113LSep 2 · 07:30B. Madej2.16931141W. Buczynski1.6011115113WAug 25 · 16:20B. Madej5.60412611143K. Adamus1.101110118122
M. Rus10
WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus3.10911661M. Adamus1.3011711113LSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152WSep 2 · 08:45M. Rus2.7541111113W. Buczynski1.38115871LSep 2 · 07:10M. Rus3.75611112112M. Adamus1.22119911133LAug 25 · 17:05M. Rus2.7067121362P. Kurek1.4011111011113
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