TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13062670
Played Sep 2Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
1.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911119119911711
Boguslaw Madej
Away
2.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:48 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
911119119911711
H2H Rafal Gajda 23–9 Boguslaw Madej Boguslaw Madej has won 9 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Gajda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-9 in 32
Gajda
Wrong
gap of 14 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1350 vs Madej 1229
Gajda
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 60% vs Madej 20%
Gajda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 30% vs Madej 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda -1 · Madej -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Gajda) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madej form (20%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.35 / Madej 2.85
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Gajda)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13062670
Gajda1.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 165 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it91% 73 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 113 of 152
Madej2.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 37 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGajda5wins
AwayMadej5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda66.7%2 of 3
AwayMadej57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda3Madej7n = 10Madej took 7 of 10
S2Gajda4Madej6n = 10Madej took 6 of 10
S3Gajda5Madej5n = 10split evenly
S4Gajda6Madej1n = 7Gajda took 6 of 7
S5Gajda1Madej2n = 3Madej took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGajdaMadejG − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.040.1−3.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaMadejBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 768 vs 135 / 37851.4%35.7%395 / 768 vs 135 / 378Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.35/Madej 2.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Madej won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 10:20R. Gajda—9540B. Madej—1111113
WJul 21 · 15:05R. Gajda—11611113B. Madej—811751
LJul 21 · 09:05R. Gajda—111121182B. Madej—713118113
LJul 7 · 15:30R. Gajda—81341172B. Madej—1111115113
LJul 7 · 09:30R. Gajda—4970B. Madej—1111113
WMay 26 · 15:30R. Gajda—91211123B. Madej—11108101
WMay 26 · 09:30R. Gajda—712118113B. Madej—111061182
LMay 19 · 15:30R. Gajda—177110B. Madej—1911133
WMay 19 · 09:30R. Gajda—11411133B. Madej—9118111
WMay 12 · 15:30R. Gajda—41111143B. Madej—1178121
R. Gajda10
WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:50O. Vincenec1.83691111143R. Gajda1.83111126122WSep 3 · 08:35R. Gajda2.20513811153M. Sikon1.611111119132WSep 3 · 06:55R. Gajda1.67111189113P. Kurek2.1079111162WSep 3 · 05:40R. Gajda1.83111311113O. Vincenec1.831311551WSep 3 · 04:10R. Gajda1.5311311113K. Kowalski2.38811571WSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282
B. Madej10
WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143LSep 2 · 07:30B. Madej2.16931141W. Buczynski1.6011115113LSep 2 · 06:20B. Madej1.93117115102M. Rus1.75911711123WAug 25 · 16:20B. Madej5.60412611143K. Adamus1.101110118122
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda2 of 3 neutral
B. Madej
Nothing scheduled
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