TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065182
Played Sep 3Finished
Rafal Gajda
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111111131012118
Igor Szymanski
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:27 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafal Gajda above · Igor Szymanski below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 84 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Rafal Gajda at 79.4%
84 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Gajda 7–0 Igor Szymanski Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Gajda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-0 in 7
Gajda
Correct
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gajda 1351 vs Szymanski 1188
Gajda
Correct
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gajda 80% vs Szymanski 20%
Gajda
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gajda 60% vs Szymanski 10%
Gajda
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gajda +2 · Szymanski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Gajda)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGajda 1.25 / Szymanski 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Gajda)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065182
Gajda1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 165 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it91% 73 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 113 of 152
Szymanski3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog22% won 74 of 338
Down 0–1, comes back11% 25 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGajda7wins
AwaySzymanski0wins
2 of 7 to a deciderGajda leads 7–0, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGajda100%5 of 5
AwaySzymanskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gajda5Szymanski2n = 7Gajda took 5 of 7
S2Gajda7Szymanski0n = 7Gajda took 7 of 7
S3Gajda5Szymanski2n = 7Gajda took 5 of 7
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home571%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricGajdaSzymanskiG − SBasisWins70+7in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match39.729.3+10.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGajdaSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 775 vs 83 / 36151.5%23%399 / 775 vs 83 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.433.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaGajda 1.25/Szymanski 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 25 · 08:20R. Gajda—913811163I. Szymanski—1111115142
WJul 16 · 12:15R. Gajda—1111143I. Szymanski—75120
WJul 16 · 08:35R. Gajda—1012512133I. Szymanski—12101110112
WJul 9 · 09:25R. Gajda—1211113I. Szymanski—10440
WJul 9 · 03:25R. Gajda—1111113I. Szymanski—6930
WJul 2 · 13:55R. Gajda—1111113I. Szymanski—2970
WJul 2 · 04:10R. Gajda—1111113I. Szymanski—6780
R. Gajda10
WSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:50O. Vincenec1.83691111143R. Gajda1.83111126122WSep 3 · 08:35R. Gajda2.20513811153M. Sikon1.611111119132WSep 3 · 06:55R. Gajda1.67111189113P. Kurek2.1079111162WSep 3 · 05:40R. Gajda1.83111311113O. Vincenec1.831311551WSep 3 · 04:10R. Gajda1.5311311113K. Kowalski2.38811571WSep 2 · 16:20S. Juzek1.858560R. Gajda1.801111113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260WSep 2 · 02:35I. Szymanski2.631112113K. Schaniel1.4461090
Upcoming Matches
R. Gajda2 of 3 neutral
I. Szymanski
Nothing scheduled
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