TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065107
Played Sep 3Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118119911611
Mateusz Sikon
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:18 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Mateusz Sikon below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 95 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Mateusz Sikon at 68.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 2–7 Mateusz Sikon Igor Szymanski has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sikon
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Sikon
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1166 vs Sikon 1352
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Sikon 60%
Sikon
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 20% vs Sikon 70%
Sikon
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -2 · Sikon -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Sikon) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 3.00 / Sikon 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Sikon)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065107
Szymanski3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog22% won 74 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back11% 25 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 163
Sikon1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite49% won 48 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it74% 29 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSzymanski2wins
AwaySikon7wins
3 of 9 to a deciderSikon leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski25%1 of 4
AwaySikon80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski4Sikon5n = 9Sikon took 5 of 9
S2Szymanski3Sikon6n = 9Sikon took 6 of 9
S3Szymanski2Sikon7n = 9Sikon took 7 of 9
S4Szymanski3Sikon4n = 7Sikon took 4 of 7
S5Szymanski1Sikon2n = 3Sikon took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSzymanskiSikonSzymanski − SikonBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match35.842.2−6.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 366 vs 129 / 35023%36.9%84 / 366 vs 129 / 350Avg sets wonper match1.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonSzymanski 3.00/Sikon 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 3 · 07:20I. Szymanski—541131M. Sikon—11119113
LAug 29 · 24:10I. Szymanski—51280M. Sikon—1114113
LAug 28 · 20:30I. Szymanski—8119101M. Sikon—11611123
LJul 17 · 13:05I. Szymanski—45120M. Sikon—1111143
WJul 17 · 06:55I. Szymanski—911211113M. Sikon—11911872
WJul 8 · 01:45I. Szymanski—12711113M. Sikon—1011781
LJul 7 · 16:15I. Szymanski—11116582M. Sikon—791111113
LJul 6 · 10:10I. Szymanski—1191491M. Sikon—61116113
LJul 6 · 07:45I. Szymanski—11891172M. Sikon—911119113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282WSep 2 · 02:35I. Szymanski2.631112113K. Schaniel1.4461090
M. Sikon10
LSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 02:45L. Oracz1.7561112113M. Sikon1.981171081LSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660LSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113LSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:30G. Marud1.38710111162M. Sikon2.75111265113WSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
Nothing scheduled
M. Sikon
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