TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065169
Played Sep 3Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131412118––––
Kamil Kowalski
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:30 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeIgor Szymanski to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Kamil Kowalski below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 59 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Igor Szymanski at 67.3%
59 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 3–0 Kamil Kowalski Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Szymanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Szymanski
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1148 vs Kowalski 1012
Szymanski
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Kowalski 0%
Szymanski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 20% vs Kowalski 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -4 · Kowalski -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Szymanski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalski form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 1.44 / Kowalski 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Szymanski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13065169
Szymanski1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 9 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Kowalski2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog16% won 17 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSzymanski3wins
AwayKowalski0wins
Szymanski leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski100%3 of 3
AwayKowalskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski3Kowalski0n = 3Szymanski took 3 of 3
S2Szymanski2Kowalski1n = 3Szymanski took 2 of 3
S3Szymanski2Kowalski1n = 3Szymanski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSzymanskiKowalskiS − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match38.324.0+14.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiKowalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 368 vs 17 / 11722.8%14.5%84 / 368 vs 17 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.31.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.332.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiSzymanski 1.44/Kowalski 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 3 · 05:15I. Szymanski—11117113K. Kowalski—341151
WJul 26 · 09:00I. Szymanski—1111113K. Kowalski—6480
WJul 26 · 04:30I. Szymanski—13711113K. Kowalski—1111451
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282WSep 2 · 02:35I. Szymanski2.631112113K. Schaniel1.4461090
K. Kowalski10
LSep 3 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.28711119113K. Kowalski3.5011841172LSep 3 · 13:30M. Sikon1.3011811113K. Kowalski3.40811891LSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:00P. Kurek1.101111911113K. Kowalski6.5091311762LSep 3 · 07:45K. Kowalski6.50116761P. Kurek1.1081111113LSep 3 · 06:30K. Kowalski3.50107100O. Vincenec1.281211123LSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:10R. Gajda1.5311311113K. Kowalski2.38811571LSep 3 · 03:25K. Kowalski3.259780M. Sikon1.331111113WAug 13 · 13:55R. Gajda1.40117891K. Kowalski2.7571111113
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