TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058346
Played Sep 2Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210119––––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:22 and never touched — 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Krzysztof Schaniel below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 70.8%
59 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 3–13 Krzysztof Schaniel Igor Szymanski has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:22What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-13 in 16
Schaniel
Wrong
gap of 10 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1188 vs Schaniel 1401
Schaniel
Wrong
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 0% vs Schaniel 40%
Schaniel
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 10% vs Schaniel 60%
Schaniel
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -5 · Schaniel -2
Szymanski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Schaniel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 2.63 / Schaniel 1.44
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Schaniel)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13058346
Szymanski2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog22% won 73 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back11% 25 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 156
Schaniel1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 217 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it89% 100 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it76% 160 of 210
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymanski3wins
AwaySchaniel7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski60%3 of 5
AwaySchaniel100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S2Szymanski2Schaniel8n = 10Schaniel took 8 of 10
S3Szymanski5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S4Szymanski2Schaniel7n = 9Schaniel took 7 of 9
S5Szymanski3Schaniel2n = 5Szymanski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymanskiSchanielSzymanski − SchanielBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.443.0−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 361 vs 874 / 174123%50.2%83 / 361 vs 874 / 1741Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSzymanski 2.63/Schaniel 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.8%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 21:30I. Szymanski—111091192K. Schaniel—912118113
LAug 10 · 03:30I. Szymanski—116661K. Schaniel—61111113
LAug 9 · 21:30I. Szymanski—791151K. Schaniel—11114113
LAug 6 · 17:05I. Szymanski—12101131K. Schaniel—14129113
WAug 6 · 08:45I. Szymanski—115114113K. Schaniel—31191162
WJul 22 · 09:50I. Szymanski—1111106113K. Schaniel—98121152
LJul 22 · 05:40I. Szymanski—81111472K. Schaniel—119911113
WJul 17 · 13:55I. Szymanski—118514113K. Schaniel—411111292
LJul 17 · 04:10I. Szymanski—771181K. Schaniel—11118113
LJul 8 · 01:00I. Szymanski—9590K. Schaniel—1111113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282
K. Schaniel10
WSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel2.631111113J. Pruszkowski1.449860LSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113
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