TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065145
Played Sep 3Finished
Kamil Kowalski
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311411117511––
Igor Szymanski
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:28 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeIgor Szymanski to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Kowalski above · Igor Szymanski below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 63 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Igor Szymanski at 67.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kowalski 0–2 Igor Szymanski Kamil Kowalski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:28What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Szymanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kowalski 1040 vs Szymanski 1172
Szymanski
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalski 20% vs Szymanski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalski 20% vs Szymanski 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalski -2 · Szymanski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Szymanski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalski 2.63 / Szymanski 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Szymanski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13065145
Kowalski2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog16% won 17 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back4% 3 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 45
Szymanski1.44
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 9 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKowalski0wins
AwaySzymanski2wins
Szymanski leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKowalskiSzymanskiK − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match24.537.5−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalskiSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 112 vs 83 / 36315.2%22.9%17 / 112 vs 83 / 363Avg sets wonper match1.21.3per matchAvg pointsper match32.433.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiKowalski 2.63/Szymanski 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 26 · 09:00K. Kowalski—6480I. Szymanski—1111113
LJul 26 · 04:30K. Kowalski—1111451I. Szymanski—13711113
K. Kowalski10
LSep 3 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.28711119113K. Kowalski3.5011841172LSep 3 · 13:30M. Sikon1.3011811113K. Kowalski3.40811891LSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:00P. Kurek1.101111911113K. Kowalski6.5091311762LSep 3 · 07:45K. Kowalski6.50116761P. Kurek1.1081111113LSep 3 · 06:30K. Kowalski3.50107100O. Vincenec1.281211123LSep 3 · 04:10R. Gajda1.5311311113K. Kowalski2.38811571LSep 3 · 03:25K. Kowalski3.259780M. Sikon1.331111113WAug 13 · 13:55R. Gajda1.40117891K. Kowalski2.7571111113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282WSep 2 · 02:35I. Szymanski2.631112113K. Schaniel1.4461090
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