TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065183
Played Sep 3Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115114911113––
Igor Szymanski
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:28 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMateusz Sikon above · Igor Szymanski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 65 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Mateusz Sikon at 68.9%
65 points played in total.
H2H Mateusz Sikon 8–2 Igor Szymanski Igor Szymanski has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sikon
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Sikon
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1376 vs Szymanski 1143
Sikon
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 80% vs Szymanski 40%
Sikon
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 70% vs Szymanski 20%
Sikon
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -1 · Szymanski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Sikon) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 1.44 / Szymanski 2.63
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Sikon)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13065183
Sikon1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 52 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43
Szymanski2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 74 of 346
Down 0–1, comes back11% 25 of 234
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon8wins
AwaySzymanski2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSikon leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon83.3%5 of 6
AwaySzymanski25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon6Szymanski4n = 10Sikon took 6 of 10
S2Sikon6Szymanski4n = 10Sikon took 6 of 10
S3Sikon7Szymanski3n = 10Sikon took 7 of 10
S4Sikon5Szymanski3n = 8Sikon took 5 of 8
S5Sikon3Szymanski1n = 4Sikon took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonSzymanskiSikon − SzymanskiBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.036.7+6.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 355 vs 85 / 37137.8%22.9%134 / 355 vs 85 / 371Avg sets wonper match1.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.333.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonSikon 1.44/Szymanski 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 09:25M. Sikon—118911113I. Szymanski—81111962
WSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon—11119113I. Szymanski—541131
WAug 29 · 24:10M. Sikon—1114113I. Szymanski—51280
WAug 28 · 20:30M. Sikon—11611123I. Szymanski—8119101
WJul 17 · 13:05M. Sikon—1111143I. Szymanski—45120
LJul 17 · 06:55M. Sikon—11911872I. Szymanski—911211113
LJul 8 · 01:45M. Sikon—1011781I. Szymanski—12711113
WJul 7 · 16:15M. Sikon—791111113I. Szymanski—11116582
WJul 6 · 10:10M. Sikon—61116113I. Szymanski—1191491
WJul 6 · 07:45M. Sikon—911119113I. Szymanski—11891172
M. Sikon10
LSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 02:45L. Oracz1.7561112113M. Sikon1.981171081LSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660LSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113LSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:30G. Marud1.38710111162M. Sikon2.75111265113WSep 6 · 17:55M. Baron1.801171191M. Sikon1.8513119113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282WSep 2 · 02:35I. Szymanski2.631112113K. Schaniel1.4461090
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