TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065121
Played Sep 3Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811911––––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:31 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Oliver Vincenec at 77.5%
57 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–6 Oliver Vincenec Igor Szymanski has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Vincenec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Vincenec
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1158 vs Vincenec 1343
Vincenec
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Vincenec 60%
Vincenec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 30% vs Vincenec 50%
Vincenec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski +1 · Vincenec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Vincenec) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 3.40 / Vincenec 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Vincenec)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065121
Szymanski3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog22% won 74 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back11% 25 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 163
Vincenec1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 142 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it87% 62 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it75% 102 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayVincenec6wins
Vincenec leads 6–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVincenec100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski2Vincenec5n = 7Vincenec took 5 of 7
S2Szymanski4Vincenec3n = 7Szymanski took 4 of 7
S3Szymanski2Vincenec5n = 7Vincenec took 5 of 7
S4Szymanski0Vincenec5n = 5Vincenec took 5 of 5
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away571%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSzymanskiVincenecS − VBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match34.438.0−3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 369 vs 639 / 141723%45.1%85 / 369 vs 639 / 1417Avg sets wonper match1.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecSzymanski 3.40/Vincenec 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 17 · 24:20I. Szymanski—911891O. Vincenec—11511113
LAug 16 · 20:20I. Szymanski—312130O. Vincenec—1114153
LAug 16 · 24:20I. Szymanski—1191251O. Vincenec—71114113
LAug 15 · 20:20I. Szymanski—671181O. Vincenec—11118113
WJul 13 · 13:30I. Szymanski—1111113O. Vincenec—6490
LJul 13 · 07:20I. Szymanski—8119101O. Vincenec—11911123
LJul 1 · 03:35I. Szymanski—1011781O. Vincenec—12811113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282WSep 2 · 02:35I. Szymanski2.631112113K. Schaniel1.4461090
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
Nothing scheduled
O. Vincenec1 of 1 neutral
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