TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13065167
Played Sep 3Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711311711––––
Rafal Gajda
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:31 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeRafal Gajda to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Rafal Gajda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 50 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Rafal Gajda at 79.4%
50 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 0–9 Rafal Gajda Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Gajda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-9 in 9
Gajda
Correct
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1143 vs Gajda 1416
Gajda
Correct
both rated, 273 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 20% vs Gajda 60%
Gajda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 30% vs Gajda 80%
Gajda
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -1 · Gajda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Gajda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gajda form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 3.75 / Gajda 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Gajda)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13065167
Szymanski3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog22% won 74 of 339
Down 0–1, comes back11% 25 of 229
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 163
Gajda1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 171 of 292
Up 2–0, closes it92% 76 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it75% 118 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSzymanski0wins
AwayGajda9wins
3 of 9 to a deciderGajda leads 9–0, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski0%0 of 3
AwayGajda100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski3Gajda6n = 9Gajda took 6 of 9
S2Szymanski0Gajda9n = 9Gajda took 9 of 9
S3Szymanski2Gajda7n = 9Gajda took 7 of 9
S4Szymanski1Gajda2n = 3Gajda took 2 of 3
S5Szymanski0Gajda3n = 3Gajda took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away667%
These 9 meetings
MetricSzymanskiGajdaS − GBasisWins09−9in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match28.640.0−11.4per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiGajdaBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 371 vs 407 / 78522.9%51.9%85 / 371 vs 407 / 785Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GajdaSzymanski 3.75/Gajda 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Gajda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gajda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski—7370R. Gajda—1111113
LSep 3 · 03:00I. Szymanski—11131282R. Gajda—6111110113
LAug 25 · 08:20I. Szymanski—1111115142R. Gajda—913811163
LJul 16 · 12:15I. Szymanski—75120R. Gajda—1111143
LJul 16 · 08:35I. Szymanski—12101110112R. Gajda—1012512133
LJul 9 · 09:25I. Szymanski—10440R. Gajda—1211113
LJul 9 · 03:25I. Szymanski—6930R. Gajda—1111113
LJul 2 · 13:55I. Szymanski—2970R. Gajda—1111113
LJul 2 · 04:10I. Szymanski—6780R. Gajda—1111113
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282WSep 2 · 02:35I. Szymanski2.631112113K. Schaniel1.4461090
R. Gajda10
WSep 3 · 13:05P. Kurek2.1066110R. Gajda1.671111133LSep 3 · 12:15R. Gajda2.2011512872M. Sikon1.618111011113WSep 3 · 10:35R. Gajda1.53111149113K. Kowalski2.3847111192LSep 3 · 09:50O. Vincenec1.83691111143R. Gajda1.83111126122WSep 3 · 08:35R. Gajda2.20513811153M. Sikon1.611111119132WSep 3 · 06:55R. Gajda1.67111189113P. Kurek2.1079111162WSep 3 · 05:40R. Gajda1.83111311113O. Vincenec1.831311551WSep 3 · 04:10R. Gajda1.5311311113K. Kowalski2.38811571WSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282WSep 2 · 16:20S. Juzek1.858560R. Gajda1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
I. Szymanski
Nothing scheduled
R. Gajda2 of 3 neutral
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