TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089777
Played Sep 7Finished
Sebastian Krupa
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111113911––––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.87
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
7111113911––––
H2H Sebastian Krupa 7–7 Krzysztof Schaniel Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:40What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Krupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupa 1454 vs Schaniel 1353
Krupa
Wrong
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupa 80% vs Schaniel 100%
Schaniel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupa 80% vs Schaniel 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupa -1 · Schaniel +5
Schaniel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupa 1.83 / Schaniel 1.87
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupa)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13089777
Krupa1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 105 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Schaniel1.87
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 184 of 456
Down 0–1, comes back27% 67 of 249
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 138
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupa4wins
AwaySchaniel6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupa60%3 of 5
AwaySchaniel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupa5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S2Krupa5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S3Krupa5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S4Krupa5Schaniel4n = 9Krupa took 5 of 9
S5Krupa2Schaniel4n = 6Schaniel took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupaSchanielK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.342.1+0.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupaSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 585 vs 875 / 174350.4%50.2%295 / 585 vs 875 / 1743Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaKrupa 1.83/Schaniel 1.87
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 15 · 04:00S. Krupa—1110871K. Schaniel—91211113
LAug 7 · 15:05S. Krupa—911111192K. Schaniel—114139113
WAug 7 · 09:05S. Krupa—1081111113K. Schaniel—12119552
WJan 26 · 01:00S. Krupa—13411113K. Schaniel—1111791
LDec 3 · 21:20S. Krupa—71181192K. Schaniel—118119113
WOct 8 · 15:35S. Krupa—117115113K. Schaniel—61191152
LOct 1 · 16:25S. Krupa—51141482K. Schaniel—1191112113
WSep 3 · 20:20S. Krupa—1111113K. Schaniel—8670
LApr 21 · 04:40S. Krupa—681171K. Schaniel—11115113
LApr 20 · 22:40S. Krupa—11119982K. Schaniel—481111113
S. Krupa10
LSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123WSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101WSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540WSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113WSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113WSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123LSep 2 · 20:20S. Krupa2.0091241172K. Juszczyk1.711110111113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113WSep 5 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.611111113G. Sawicki2.205670WSep 5 · 24:35K. Schaniel1.571111113A. Szurgot2.256870
Upcoming Matches
S. Krupa
Nothing scheduled
K. Schaniel
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