TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082849
Played Sep 6Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
2.70
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7116111012––––
Sebastian Krupa
Away
1.39
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:48 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
7116111012––––
H2H Rafal Adach 2–4 Sebastian Krupa Rafal Adach has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:48What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.39 (66%)
Krupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Krupa
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adach 1273 vs Krupa 1394
Krupa
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 80% vs Krupa 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 70% vs Krupa 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach +4 · Krupa -1
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Krupa) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 2.70 / Krupa 1.39
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Krupa)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13082849
Adach2.70
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog34% won 89 of 259
Down 0–1, comes back17% 25 of 148
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 89
Krupa1.39
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 105 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeAdach2wins
AwayKrupa4wins
Krupa leads 4–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdach66.7%2 of 3
AwayKrupa100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adach3Krupa3n = 6split evenly
S2Adach2Krupa4n = 6Krupa took 4 of 6
S3Adach2Krupa4n = 6Krupa took 4 of 6
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away350%
These 6 meetings
MetricAdachKrupaA − KBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match27.531.7−4.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachKrupaBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 571 vs 299 / 59641.5%50.2%237 / 571 vs 299 / 596Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaAdach 2.70/Krupa 1.39
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 2 · 18:00R. Adach—61110S. Krupa—1113113
WAug 10 · 02:45R. Adach—1111113S. Krupa—8980
WAug 9 · 18:25R. Adach—1111113S. Krupa—4470
LMay 24 · 23:10R. Adach—5470S. Krupa—1111113
LMay 24 · 17:10R. Adach—12111161S. Krupa—101313113
LFeb 7 · 05:00R. Adach—59110S. Krupa—1111133
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 23:05R. Wiza2.101111861R. Adach1.6613811113
S. Krupa10
LSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113LSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123WSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101WSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540WSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113WSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113LSep 2 · 20:20S. Krupa2.0091241172K. Juszczyk1.711110111113
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