TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085399
Played Sep 6Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
3.35
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1816116811118––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.27
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:19 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
1816116811118––
H2H Rafal Adach 0–1 Pawel Polok Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (73%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Adach 1231 vs Polok 1494
Polok
Wrong
both rated, 263 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 60% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 60% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach +2 · Polok +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (30%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 3.35 / Polok 1.27
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13085399
Adach3.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 85 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Polok1.27
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 63 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAdach0wins
AwayPolok1wins
Polok leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricAdachPolokA − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match10.033.0−23.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 569 vs 104 / 16341.3%63.8%235 / 569 vs 104 / 163Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match34.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokAdach 3.35/Polok 1.27
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.3%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 21:55R. Adach—4330P. Polok—1111113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 23:05R. Wiza2.101111861R. Adach1.6613811113
P. Polok10
WSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113WSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151WSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133WSep 5 · 21:55R. Adach3.154330P. Polok1.291111113WSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 17:30R. Wiza3.251011641P. Polok1.2812911113LSep 3 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.70512117123P. Polok1.951110811102
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