TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085146
Played Sep 6Finished
Robert Szymik
Home
1.68
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111161315811––
Pawel Polok
Away
2.07
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:59 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
9111161315811––
H2H Robert Szymik 0–1 Pawel Polok Robert Szymik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:59What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Szymik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1400 vs Polok 1485
Polok
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 80% vs Polok 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 60% vs Polok 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik +4 · Polok +1
Szymik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.68 / Polok 2.07
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szymik)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13085146
Szymik1.68
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 278 of 399
Up 2–0, closes it95% 162 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it84% 213 of 254
Polok2.07
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog58% won 19 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back33% 5 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSzymik0wins
AwayPolok1wins
Polok leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSzymikPolokS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match28.036.0−8.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime623 / 951 vs 103 / 16265.5%63.6%623 / 951 vs 103 / 162Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.68/Polok 2.07
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik—12970P. Polok—1411113
R. Szymik10
WSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580WSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 18:45R. Wiza3.752470R. Szymik1.211111113LSep 5 · 17:55R. Szymik1.26811681R. Adach3.3511611113LSep 5 · 04:20R. Szymik1.28611101152R. Wiza3.25118126113
P. Polok10
WSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151WSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133WSep 5 · 21:55R. Adach3.154330P. Polok1.291111113WSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 17:30R. Wiza3.251011641P. Polok1.2812911113LSep 3 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.70512117123P. Polok1.951110811102
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