TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084514
Played Sep 5Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
3.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411311311––––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
43 points played in total.
Set by set
411311311––––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.29 (71%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Adach 1199 vs Polok 1487
Polok
Correct
both rated, 288 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 60% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 40% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -1 · Polok +3
Polok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (32%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 3.15 / Polok 1.29
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13084514
Adach3.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 85 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Polok1.29
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 63 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 564 vs 100 / 15841.1%63.3%232 / 564 vs 100 / 158Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
PolokAdach 3.15/Polok 1.29
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.7%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Polok won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
P. Polok10
WSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151WSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133WSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 17:30R. Wiza3.251011641P. Polok1.2812911113LSep 3 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.70512117123P. Polok1.951110811102
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