TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088100
Played Sep 6Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13111113116711911
Grzegorz Sawicki
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Adach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
13111113116711911
H2H Rafal Adach 9–14 Grzegorz Sawicki Rafal Adach has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:45What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Sawicki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Sawicki
Correct
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adach 1263 vs Sawicki 1267
Sawicki
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 80% vs Sawicki 60%
Adach
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 60% vs Sawicki 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -1 · Sawicki +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sawicki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 1.85 / Sawicki 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sawicki)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13088100
Adach1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Sawicki1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdach3wins
AwaySawicki7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSawicki leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdach50%3 of 6
AwaySawicki100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adach6Sawicki4n = 10Adach took 6 of 10
S2Adach6Sawicki4n = 10Adach took 6 of 10
S3Adach4Sawicki6n = 10Sawicki took 6 of 10
S4Adach4Sawicki4n = 8split evenly
S5Adach0Sawicki5n = 5Sawicki took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdachSawickiA − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.042.0−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 572 vs 360 / 89641.4%40.2%237 / 572 vs 360 / 896Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SawickiAdach 1.85/Sawicki 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sawicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 31 · 02:20R. Adach—13751162G. Sawicki—1111118113
LMay 30 · 18:20R. Adach—81112832G. Sawicki—1131011113
LMay 30 · 06:45R. Adach—121311772G. Sawicki—1015811113
WMay 9 · 06:25R. Adach—12611143G. Sawicki—10118121
WApr 26 · 04:40R. Adach—11117113G. Sawicki—981161
WApr 25 · 22:40R. Adach—1111133G. Sawicki—97110
LApr 20 · 02:00R. Adach—8111091G. Sawicki—11112113
LApr 19 · 16:25R. Adach—111191272G. Sawicki—961114113
LApr 5 · 24:45R. Adach—101171182G. Sawicki—127115113
LApr 4 · 22:20R. Adach—5990G. Sawicki—1111113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 23:05R. Wiza2.101111861R. Adach1.6613811113
G. Sawicki10
LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112LSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113LSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113WSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861WSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113WSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111LSep 5 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.3611912153G. Sawicki3.0081110131
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