TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088524
Played Sep 6Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111149111315––
Rafal Ogon
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:14 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
5111149111315––
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 27–11 Rafal Ogon Rafal Ogon has won 11 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:14What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Sawicki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-11 in 38
Sawicki
Wrong
gap of 16 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1270 vs Ogon 1106
Sawicki
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 40% vs Ogon 0%
Sawicki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 50% vs Ogon 20%
Sawicki
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki -1 · Ogon -5
Ogon
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Sawicki) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogon form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 1.60 / Ogon 2.10
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Sawicki)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13088524
Sawicki1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 50 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it86% 43 of 50
Ogon2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog27% won 41 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back13% 13 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki5wins
AwayOgon5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki100%5 of 5
AwayOgon100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki5Ogon5n = 10split evenly
S2Sawicki5Ogon5n = 10split evenly
S3Sawicki4Ogon6n = 10Ogon took 6 of 10
S4Sawicki1Ogon2n = 3Ogon took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiOgonS − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.934.7−0.8per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiOgonBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 897 vs 115 / 44640.3%25.8%361 / 897 vs 115 / 446Avg sets wonper match1.81.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.033.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SawickiSawicki 1.60/Ogon 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Sawicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ogon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 24:45G. Sawicki—111215113R. Ogon—8101741
WAug 16 · 18:45G. Sawicki—2211113R. Ogon—20580
WJul 19 · 16:50G. Sawicki—1111113R. Ogon—5880
LJun 22 · 01:10G. Sawicki—5890R. Ogon—1111113
LJun 21 · 19:10G. Sawicki—7860R. Ogon—1111113
LJun 8 · 01:10G. Sawicki—9970R. Ogon—1111113
WJun 7 · 19:10G. Sawicki—128119113R. Ogon—101171192
LJun 1 · 24:25G. Sawicki—11860R. Ogon—1311113
LMay 31 · 20:45G. Sawicki—711781R. Ogon—11911113
WMay 18 · 24:25G. Sawicki—1212123R. Ogon—1010100
G. Sawicki10
LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113WSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112LSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113LSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113WSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861WSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113WSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111LSep 5 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.3611912153G. Sawicki3.0081110131
R. Ogon10
LSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241LSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540LSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113LSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 17:10R. Ogon2.60161171W. Jozala1.4211119113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Ogon5.254780K. Juszczyk1.111111113LAug 17 · 02:20R. Ogon3.959850P. Adamus1.191111113
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