TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087066
Played Sep 6Finished
Rafal Ogon
Home
5.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711811––––
Krzysztof Juszczyk
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Juszczyk to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
411711811––––
H2H Rafal Ogon 3–19 Krzysztof Juszczyk Rafal Ogon has won 3 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (83%)
Juszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-19 in 22
Juszczyk
Correct
gap of 16 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ogon 1130 vs Juszczyk 1470
Juszczyk
Correct
both rated, 341 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ogon 20% vs Juszczyk 80%
Juszczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ogon 30% vs Juszczyk 60%
Juszczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ogon -3 · Juszczyk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Juszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juszczyk form (80%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOgon 5.25 / Juszczyk 1.11
Signal prob.13% / 88%
Edge (Juszczyk)+5.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13087066
Ogon5.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 41 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back13% 13 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 69
Juszczyk1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 190 of 303
Up 2–0, closes it94% 109 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it79% 152 of 192
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOgon1wins
AwayJuszczyk9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJuszczyk leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOgonn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJuszczyk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ogon2Juszczyk8n = 10Juszczyk took 8 of 10
S2Ogon2Juszczyk8n = 10Juszczyk took 8 of 10
S3Ogon2Juszczyk8n = 10Juszczyk took 8 of 10
S4Ogon2Juszczyk3n = 5Juszczyk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricOgonJuszczykO − JBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.038.0−9.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOgonJuszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 478 vs 651 / 121326.4%53.7%126 / 478 vs 651 / 1213Avg sets wonper match1.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.036.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuszczykOgon 5.25/Juszczyk 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.5%
Juszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Juszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 1 · 01:35R. Ogon—8580K. Juszczyk—1111113
LApr 13 · 02:45R. Ogon—101080K. Juszczyk—1212113
LApr 12 · 18:25R. Ogon—6211111K. Juszczyk—11119133
LApr 6 · 24:25R. Ogon—11111071K. Juszczyk—13312113
LApr 5 · 20:45R. Ogon—6790K. Juszczyk—1111113
LMar 29 · 23:10R. Ogon—114621K. Juszczyk—81111113
WMar 29 · 17:10R. Ogon—91211113K. Juszczyk—1110571
LMar 22 · 23:25R. Ogon—8640K. Juszczyk—1111113
LMar 22 · 21:00R. Ogon—13841352K. Juszczyk—11111111113
LMar 15 · 22:10R. Ogon—76100K. Juszczyk—1111123
R. Ogon10
LSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241LSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540LSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 17:10R. Ogon2.60161171W. Jozala1.4211119113LAug 17 · 02:20R. Ogon3.959850P. Adamus1.191111113
K. Juszczyk10
WSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113WSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.331111113W. Jozala2.957540LSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113WSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121WSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113WSep 6 · 06:00W. Pytlas1.57712381K. Juszczyk2.25111011113LSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113WSep 6 · 04:00K. Juszczyk1.4011813133R. Idaczyk2.7561111111LSep 5 · 10:40K. Juszczyk1.407750W. Buczynski2.651111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Ogon
Nothing scheduled
K. Juszczyk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.