TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088529
Played Sep 6Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5113111311611––
Sebastian Krupa
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
5113111311611––
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 11–25 Sebastian Krupa Grzegorz Sawicki has won 11 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Krupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-25 in 36
Krupa
Correct
gap of 14 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1278 vs Krupa 1418
Krupa
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 60% vs Krupa 80%
Krupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 50% vs Krupa 80%
Krupa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki +2 · Krupa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Krupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 2.60 / Krupa 1.41
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Krupa)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13088529
Sawicki2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 122 of 374
Down 0–1, comes back19% 47 of 250
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 160
Krupa1.41
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 105 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki3wins
AwayKrupa7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrupa leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki25%1 of 4
AwayKrupa60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki4Krupa5n = 9Krupa took 5 of 9
S2Sawicki3Krupa6n = 9Krupa took 6 of 9
S3Sawicki1Krupa8n = 9Krupa took 8 of 9
S4Sawicki4Krupa2n = 6Sawicki took 4 of 6
S5Sawicki2Krupa2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiKrupaS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match36.342.4−6.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiKrupaBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 897 vs 289 / 57840.3%50%361 / 897 vs 289 / 578Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaSawicki 2.60/Krupa 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 31 · 02:00G. Sawicki—107100S. Krupa—1211123
LAug 30 · 16:25G. Sawicki—12148762S. Krupa—10121111113
LAug 24 · 24:45G. Sawicki—3770S. Krupa—1111113
WAug 16 · 22:25G. Sawicki—613911113S. Krupa—111111892
LAug 16 · 20:00G. Sawicki—5780S. Krupa—1111113
WJul 19 · 16:00G. Sawicki—11125123S. Krupa—71011101
LJul 12 · 22:00G. Sawicki—15971262S. Krupa—13111110113
LJul 12 · 18:00G. Sawicki—116771S. Krupa—61111113
WJun 29 · 24:45G. Sawicki—671111113S. Krupa—11118762
G. Sawicki10
LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153WSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113WSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112LSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113LSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113WSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861WSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113WSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111LSep 5 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.3611912153G. Sawicki3.0081110131
S. Krupa10
LSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113LSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123WSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101WSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540WSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113WSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113WSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123LSep 2 · 20:20S. Krupa2.0091241172K. Juszczyk1.711110111113
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