TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089049
Played Sep 6Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131191412411411
Sebastian Krupa
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
11131191412411411
H2H Pawel Adamus 11–15 Sebastian Krupa Pawel Adamus has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:46What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-15 in 26
Krupa
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1440 vs Krupa 1472
Krupa
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Krupa 100%
Krupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 70% vs Krupa 90%
Krupa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Krupa +5
Krupa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupa form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.60 / Krupa 2.15
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Adamus)+0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13089049
Adamus1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 190 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it98% 88 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it77% 138 of 179
Krupa2.15
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 66 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back15% 14 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus4wins
AwayKrupa6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKrupa leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus60%3 of 5
AwayKrupa80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Krupa5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamus6Krupa4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Adamus6Krupa4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Adamus3Krupa5n = 8Krupa took 5 of 8
S5Adamus1Krupa3n = 4Krupa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusKrupaA − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.841.2−1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusKrupaBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 660 vs 295 / 58455.6%50.5%367 / 660 vs 295 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.60/Krupa 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.9%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus—111114442S. Krupa—1391211113
WAug 27 · 24:00P. Adamus—611611113S. Krupa—11711682
LAug 26 · 16:00P. Adamus—791161S. Krupa—11117113
LAug 24 · 24:00P. Adamus—981211102S. Krupa—1111104123
LAug 23 · 16:00P. Adamus—115111392S. Krupa—811915113
WAug 16 · 21:10P. Adamus—1111163S. Krupa—97140
LAug 16 · 16:50P. Adamus—115671S. Krupa—81111113
LAug 15 · 05:10P. Adamus—813871S. Krupa—111111113
WAug 10 · 01:10P. Adamus—11116113S. Krupa—971191
WAug 9 · 19:10P. Adamus—1311113S. Krupa—11630
P. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971LSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153WSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113WSep 1 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.305590P. Adamus1.271111113WSep 1 · 05:35P. Gumulinski1.958101161P. Adamus1.7711128113WSep 1 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.6097100P. Adamus1.421111123WSep 1 · 03:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.7511861272P. Adamus1.378111110113WAug 31 · 04:20S. Szostok1.678680P. Adamus2.091111113
S. Krupa10
LSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113LSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123WSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101WSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540WSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113WSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113WSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123LSep 2 · 20:20S. Krupa2.0091241172K. Juszczyk1.711110111113
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