TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13050691
Played Aug 31Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611811––––
Pawel Adamus
Away
2.09
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
811611811––––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 9–6 Pawel Adamus Pawel Adamus has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:59What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Szostok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1483 vs Adamus 1421
Szostok
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 60% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 60% vs Adamus 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok +2 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.67 / Adamus 2.09
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Szostok)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13050691
Szostok1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 324 of 505
Up 2–0, closes it95% 124 of 131
Up 1–0, closes it78% 212 of 271
Adamus2.09
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 91 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok6wins
AwayAdamus4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok75%3 of 4
AwayAdamus50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Szostok4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Szostok6Adamus4n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S4Szostok6Adamus2n = 8Szostok took 6 of 8
S5Szostok3Adamus2n = 5Szostok took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokAdamusS − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.139.0+4.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime930 / 1562 vs 378 / 68359.5%55.3%930 / 1562 vs 378 / 683Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.440.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.67/Adamus 2.09
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 18:45S. Szostok—119111162P. Adamus—131187113
WJul 21 · 21:45S. Szostok—7151211113P. Adamus—111314852
WJul 15 · 12:15S. Szostok—8111011113P. Adamus—11512572
LJul 15 · 08:35S. Szostok—136911112P. Adamus—1111115133
WJul 13 · 01:10S. Szostok—11911113P. Adamus—511891
LJul 12 · 17:30S. Szostok—671191P. Adamus—11117113
WJun 17 · 09:00S. Szostok—911129113P. Adamus—117101122
WJun 17 · 04:30S. Szostok—11811113P. Adamus—611981
WMay 24 · 05:10S. Szostok—1211113P. Adamus—10610
LApr 10 · 06:00S. Szostok—7980P. Adamus—1111113
S. Szostok10
LSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok2.2011311113P. Jedrzejak1.611111351LSep 5 · 11:50S. Szostok1.837640J. Wieczerzak1.831111113WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.9111611113Z. Sobkow1.80511631LSep 5 · 09:00S. Szostok2.109911101W. Wojtaszczyk1.6711115123WSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113WSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113WSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113WSep 4 · 13:10O. Jadach2.20881191S. Szostok1.5711115113
P. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971LSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113LSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153WSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113WSep 1 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.305590P. Adamus1.271111113WSep 1 · 05:35P. Gumulinski1.958101161P. Adamus1.7711128113WSep 1 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.6097100P. Adamus1.421111123WSep 1 · 03:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.7511861272P. Adamus1.378111110113
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