TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089593
Played Sep 7Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.47
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210911119117––
Jakub Nowak
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1210911119117––
H2H Pawel Adamus 19–13 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 13 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:41What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-13 in 32
Adamus
Correct
gap of 6 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1448 vs Nowak 1302
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Nowak 20%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 70% vs Nowak 30%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Nowak -4
Nowak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.47 / Nowak 2.40
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Adamus)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13089593
Adamus1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 190 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it98% 88 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it77% 138 of 179
Nowak2.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 241 of 672
Down 0–1, comes back21% 86 of 407
Down 0–2, comes back9% 21 of 236
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayNowak5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus62.5%5 of 8
AwayNowakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus8Nowak2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Adamus5Nowak5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S4Adamus5Nowak3n = 8Adamus took 5 of 8
S5Adamus1Nowak3n = 4Nowak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusNowakA − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.3+0.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 661 vs 671 / 173555.7%38.7%368 / 661 vs 671 / 1735Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.47/Nowak 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.6%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus—12911113J. Nowak—1011971
WAug 4 · 21:20P. Adamus—1117113J. Nowak—91590
LAug 2 · 14:20P. Adamus—611115102J. Nowak—114711123
LAug 2 · 06:20P. Adamus—116691J. Nowak—91111113
LJul 7 · 03:10P. Adamus—12981192J. Nowak—1011117113
WJul 5 · 04:25P. Adamus—1161011113J. Nowak—91112972
WJun 21 · 05:10P. Adamus—1211113J. Nowak—10790
WJun 19 · 23:55P. Adamus—11118113J. Nowak—851171
LJun 15 · 01:10P. Adamus—11104111J. Nowak—61211133
LJun 14 · 17:30P. Adamus—51191152J. Nowak—118118113
P. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113LSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113LSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153WSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113WSep 1 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.305590P. Adamus1.271111113WSep 1 · 05:35P. Gumulinski1.958101161P. Adamus1.7711128113WSep 1 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.6097100P. Adamus1.421111123WSep 1 · 03:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.7511861272P. Adamus1.378111110113WAug 31 · 04:20S. Szostok1.678680P. Adamus2.091111113
J. Nowak10
LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130LSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113LSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123WSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113LSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571LSep 5 · 13:30J. Nowak2.389111371W. Wojtaszczyk1.5311915113LSep 5 · 12:15P. Jedrzejak1.2541111143J. Nowak3.751146121
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
Nothing scheduled
J. Nowak
Sep 7 · 06:30J. Nowak2.00K. Schaniel1.73—Sep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91R. Niemiec1.80—Sep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 7 · 18:45J. Nowak—M. Sikon——Sep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——Sep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak—P. Kurek——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.