TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057628
Played Sep 1Finished
Milosz Cesarz
Home
4.55
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911711––––
Pawel Adamus
Away
1.15
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:44 and never touched — 83.3% is still 83.3%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
83.3%
83.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
411911711––––
H2H Milosz Cesarz 1–9 Pawel Adamus Milosz Cesarz has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.15 (80%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-9 in 10
Adamus
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cesarz 1098 vs Adamus 1473
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 375 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cesarz 0% vs Adamus 100%
Adamus
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cesarz 0% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cesarz -5 · Adamus +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (87%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCesarz 4.55 / Adamus 1.15
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Adamus)+6.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13057628
Cesarz4.55
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 66 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back11% 20 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 125
Adamus1.15
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 186 of 298
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it77% 134 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCesarz1wins
AwayAdamus9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCesarzn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cesarz1Adamus9n = 10Adamus took 9 of 10
S2Cesarz5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S3Cesarz3Adamus7n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S4Cesarz1Adamus6n = 7Adamus took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricCesarzAdamusC − ABasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match30.538.4−7.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCesarzAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 547 vs 382 / 68727.8%55.6%152 / 547 vs 382 / 687Avg sets wonper match1.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.440.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusCesarz 4.55/Adamus 1.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.9%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 24:30M. Cesarz—81111882P. Adamus—117511113
LAug 24 · 22:20M. Cesarz—116791P. Adamus—71111113
LJul 7 · 07:35M. Cesarz—1750P. Adamus—1111113
LJun 24 · 01:25M. Cesarz—5129101P. Adamus—111011123
WJun 23 · 19:20M. Cesarz—91111113P. Adamus—115681
LMay 12 · 07:35M. Cesarz—8770P. Adamus—1111113
LApr 22 · 05:10M. Cesarz—1161151P. Adamus—13119113
LApr 17 · 04:25M. Cesarz—6580P. Adamus—1111113
LApr 8 · 08:45M. Cesarz—4111041P. Adamus—11812113
LFeb 21 · 06:55M. Cesarz—811761P. Adamus—11711113
M. Cesarz10
LSep 1 · 06:45P. Gumulinski1.258111216153M. Cesarz3.451181414132LSep 1 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz1.58111111113M. Cesarz2.19613691LSep 1 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.9598100J. Kaczmarek1.351111123LSep 1 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.80146771R. Idaczyk1.21121111113LAug 27 · 08:20M. Cesarz5.7011491192M. Lebek1.09511119113LAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin1.30711511113M. Cesarz3.3011911692LAug 27 · 06:00P. Kurek1.251111113M. Cesarz3.609860LAug 27 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.25111250O. Sokolowski1.571314113LAug 27 · 04:00M. Cesarz2.554370W. Jozala1.421111113LAug 25 · 05:05M. Cesarz2.507550P. Slosarczyk1.441111113
P. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971LSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113LSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153WSep 1 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.305590P. Adamus1.271111113WSep 1 · 05:35P. Gumulinski1.958101161P. Adamus1.7711128113WSep 1 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.6097100P. Adamus1.421111123WSep 1 · 03:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.7511861272P. Adamus1.378111110113WAug 31 · 04:20S. Szostok1.678680P. Adamus2.091111113
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