TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13009974
Played Aug 25Finished
Milosz Cesarz
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511511––––
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:56 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timePawel Slosarczyk to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
711511511––––
H2H Milosz Cesarz 1–7 Pawel Slosarczyk Milosz Cesarz has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:56What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Slosarczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Slosarczyk
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cesarz 1179 vs Slosarczyk 1200
Slosarczyk
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cesarz 20% vs Slosarczyk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cesarz 20% vs Slosarczyk 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cesarz +1 · Slosarczyk -4
Slosarczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Slosarczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCesarz 2.50 / Slosarczyk 1.44
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Slosarczyk)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13009974
Cesarz2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 67 of 264
Down 0–1, comes back10% 19 of 183
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 123
Slosarczyk1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 104 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it82% 74 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeCesarz1wins
AwaySlosarczyk7wins
1 of 8 to a deciderSlosarczyk leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCesarzn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySlosarczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cesarz2Slosarczyk6n = 8Slosarczyk took 6 of 8
S2Cesarz2Slosarczyk6n = 8Slosarczyk took 6 of 8
S3Cesarz4Slosarczyk4n = 8split evenly
S4Cesarz1Slosarczyk5n = 6Slosarczyk took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away450%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricCesarzSlosarczykC − SBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match30.240.2−10.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCesarzSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 547 vs 293 / 77228.5%38%156 / 547 vs 293 / 772Avg sets wonper match1.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.435.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlosarczykCesarz 2.50/Slosarczyk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.5%
Slosarczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 24 · 20:45M. Cesarz—116491P. Slosarczyk—81111113
LAug 22 · 02:35M. Cesarz—3730P. Slosarczyk—1111113
WAug 21 · 18:10M. Cesarz—81311113P. Slosarczyk—1111961
LJun 26 · 03:35M. Cesarz—1041151P. Slosarczyk—12116113
LJun 20 · 24:10M. Cesarz—8680P. Slosarczyk—1111113
LJun 19 · 20:30M. Cesarz—511561P. Slosarczyk—11911113
LJun 16 · 18:10M. Cesarz—1241251P. Slosarczyk—141110113
LMay 22 · 08:20M. Cesarz—11714662P. Slosarczyk—5111211113
M. Cesarz10
LSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113LSep 1 · 06:45P. Gumulinski1.258111216153M. Cesarz3.451181414132LSep 1 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz1.58111111113M. Cesarz2.19613691LSep 1 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.9598100J. Kaczmarek1.351111123LSep 1 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.80146771R. Idaczyk1.21121111113LAug 27 · 08:20M. Cesarz5.7011491192M. Lebek1.09511119113LAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin1.30711511113M. Cesarz3.3011911692LAug 27 · 06:00P. Kurek1.251111113M. Cesarz3.609860LAug 27 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.25111250O. Sokolowski1.571314113LAug 27 · 04:00M. Cesarz2.554370W. Jozala1.421111113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113WSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113LSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111WSep 5 · 17:05M. Lach1.303660P. Slosarczyk3.201111113LSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.8091111622P. Slosarczyk1.91118911113LSep 5 · 13:30J. Jesiek1.60811117113P. Slosarczyk2.1511381172WSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113
Upcoming Matches
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P. Slosarczyk
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