TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13028356
Played Aug 27Finished
Milosz Cesarz
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131214511––––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
11131214511––––
H2H Milosz Cesarz 0–3 Oskar Sokolowski Milosz Cesarz has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Sokolowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cesarz 1153 vs Sokolowski 1137
Cesarz
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cesarz 20% vs Sokolowski 0%
Cesarz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cesarz 10% vs Sokolowski 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cesarz -2 · Sokolowski -5
Sokolowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCesarz 2.25 / Sokolowski 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Sokolowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13028356
Cesarz2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 68 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back11% 20 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 124
Sokolowski1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 27 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it76% 19 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeCesarz0wins
AwaySokolowski3wins
3 of 3 to a deciderSokolowski leads 3–0, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCesarzn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwaySokolowski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cesarz0Sokolowski3n = 3Sokolowski took 3 of 3
S2Cesarz3Sokolowski0n = 3Cesarz took 3 of 3
S3Cesarz0Sokolowski3n = 3Sokolowski took 3 of 3
S4Cesarz3Sokolowski0n = 3Cesarz took 3 of 3
S5Cesarz0Sokolowski3n = 3Sokolowski took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away3100%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricCesarzSokolowskiC − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match43.049.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCesarzSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 544 vs 102 / 32328.5%31.6%155 / 544 vs 102 / 323Avg sets wonper match1.41.7per matchAvg pointsper match33.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiCesarz 2.25/Sokolowski 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 16 · 18:55M. Cesarz—81161162O. Sokolowski—114119113
LApr 18 · 08:20M. Cesarz—211512102O. Sokolowski—1151110123
LJan 17 · 08:10M. Cesarz—81291172O. Sokolowski—1110119113
M. Cesarz10
LSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113LSep 1 · 06:45P. Gumulinski1.258111216153M. Cesarz3.451181414132LSep 1 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz1.58111111113M. Cesarz2.19613691LSep 1 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.9598100J. Kaczmarek1.351111123LSep 1 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.80146771R. Idaczyk1.21121111113LAug 27 · 08:20M. Cesarz5.7011491192M. Lebek1.09511119113LAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin1.30711511113M. Cesarz3.3011911692LAug 27 · 06:00P. Kurek1.251111113M. Cesarz3.609860LAug 27 · 04:00M. Cesarz2.554370W. Jozala1.421111113LAug 25 · 05:05M. Cesarz2.507550P. Slosarczyk1.441111113
O. Sokolowski10
LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480WAug 31 · 12:15O. Sokolowski1.36111111173I. Szymanski3.004137151LAug 31 · 10:35O. Sokolowski3.7511139792W. Wojtaszczyk1.255111111113WAug 31 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.5051171192O. Sokolowski2.50115115113WAug 31 · 08:35O. Sokolowski1.33141136123I. Szymanski3.251251111102LAug 31 · 06:55O. Sokolowski2.63814391P. Brozek1.44111211113WAug 31 · 05:40O. Sokolowski2.3881312113P. Przewlocki1.5311111081LAug 31 · 04:10O. Sokolowski2.259118101K. Schaniel1.5711411123WAug 31 · 03:00O. Sokolowski4.3311114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.20961171
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