TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13047620
Played Aug 31Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511115711115911
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:38 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Oskar Sokolowski below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 86 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 66.9%
86 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 7–3 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:38What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-3 in 10
Przewlocki
Wrong
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1413 vs Sokolowski 1239
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 40% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 50% vs Sokolowski 70%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +1 · Sokolowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.50 / Sokolowski 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Przewlocki)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13047620
Przewlocki1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 132 of 221
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it74% 87 of 117
Sokolowski2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 63 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back15% 21 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki7wins
AwaySokolowski3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki66.7%6 of 9
AwaySokolowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki9Sokolowski1n = 10Przewlocki took 9 of 10
S2Przewlocki6Sokolowski4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S3Przewlocki5Sokolowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Przewlocki3Sokolowski4n = 7Sokolowski took 4 of 7
S5Przewlocki2Sokolowski1n = 3Przewlocki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiSokolowskiP − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.738.5+2.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 1078 vs 109 / 33247.2%32.8%509 / 1078 vs 109 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.50/Sokolowski 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 05:40P. Przewlocki—11111081O. Sokolowski—81312113
LAug 18 · 12:15P. Przewlocki—11113942O. Sokolowski—951111113
WAug 18 · 08:35P. Przewlocki—1111113O. Sokolowski—7990
LAug 2 · 14:45P. Przewlocki—1110481O. Sokolowski—61211113
WAug 2 · 11:05P. Przewlocki—1911113O. Sokolowski—17970
WJul 2 · 17:05P. Przewlocki—81111113O. Sokolowski—118671
WJul 2 · 08:45P. Przewlocki—119117113O. Sokolowski—81171192
WJun 25 · 10:10P. Przewlocki—117711153O. Sokolowski—911119132
WJun 25 · 07:45P. Przewlocki—11119153O. Sokolowski—7811131
WDec 21 · 17:50P. Przewlocki—1111133O. Sokolowski—69110
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113
O. Sokolowski10
LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480WAug 31 · 12:15O. Sokolowski1.36111111173I. Szymanski3.004137151LAug 31 · 10:35O. Sokolowski3.7511139792W. Wojtaszczyk1.255111111113WAug 31 · 08:35O. Sokolowski1.33141136123I. Szymanski3.251251111102LAug 31 · 06:55O. Sokolowski2.63814391P. Brozek1.44111211113WAug 31 · 05:40O. Sokolowski2.3881312113P. Przewlocki1.5311111081LAug 31 · 04:10O. Sokolowski2.259118101K. Schaniel1.5711411123WAug 31 · 03:00O. Sokolowski4.3311114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.20961171WAug 27 · 08:45P. Kurek1.4079110O. Sokolowski2.701111133
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