TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13029090
Played Aug 27Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7119111113––––
Oskar Sokolowski
Away
2.70
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:29 and never touched — 71.4% is still 71.4%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
71.4%
71.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
7119111113––––
H2H Pawel Kurek 16–3 Oskar Sokolowski Oskar Sokolowski has won 3 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-3 in 19
Kurek
Wrong
gap of 13 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1414 vs Sokolowski 1189
Kurek
Wrong
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 80% vs Sokolowski 60%
Kurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 80% vs Sokolowski 30%
Kurek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +2 · Sokolowski +3
Sokolowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.40 / Sokolowski 2.70
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kurek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13029090
Kurek1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite66% won 186 of 284
Up 2–0, closes it94% 91 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it84% 135 of 161
Sokolowski2.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog27% won 60 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back14% 20 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurek8wins
AwaySokolowski2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurek100%4 of 4
AwaySokolowski33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S2Kurek4Sokolowski6n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S3Kurek7Sokolowski3n = 10Kurek took 7 of 10
S4Kurek6Sokolowski1n = 7Kurek took 6 of 7
S5Kurek3Sokolowski0n = 3Kurek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurekSokolowskiK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.936.3+3.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 706 vs 105 / 32649.7%32.2%351 / 706 vs 105 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekKurek 1.40/Sokolowski 2.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.3%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 24:25P. Kurek—11711143O. Sokolowski—8119121
LJul 7 · 09:50P. Kurek—101450O. Sokolowski—1216113
WJul 7 · 05:40P. Kurek—11811113O. Sokolowski—411691
WJul 3 · 18:55P. Kurek—11117113O. Sokolowski—961181
LJun 29 · 13:30P. Kurek—5890O. Sokolowski—1111113
WJun 29 · 07:20P. Kurek—591112113O. Sokolowski—111171082
WJun 27 · 05:10P. Kurek—1111113O. Sokolowski—8870
WJun 23 · 08:45P. Kurek—611118113O. Sokolowski—11471152
WJun 20 · 05:10P. Kurek—81411113O. Sokolowski—1112761
WJun 16 · 22:55P. Kurek—9101111113O. Sokolowski—11126772
P. Kurek10
LSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 01:10L. Oracz1.451111113P. Kurek2.453280WSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113WSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113WSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113LSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782LSep 6 · 17:30L. Oracz1.371112511113P. Kurek2.7561411662
O. Sokolowski10
LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480WAug 31 · 12:15O. Sokolowski1.36111111173I. Szymanski3.004137151LAug 31 · 10:35O. Sokolowski3.7511139792W. Wojtaszczyk1.255111111113WAug 31 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.5051171192O. Sokolowski2.50115115113WAug 31 · 08:35O. Sokolowski1.33141136123I. Szymanski3.251251111102LAug 31 · 06:55O. Sokolowski2.63814391P. Brozek1.44111211113WAug 31 · 05:40O. Sokolowski2.3881312113P. Przewlocki1.5311111081LAug 31 · 04:10O. Sokolowski2.259118101K. Schaniel1.5711411123WAug 31 · 03:00O. Sokolowski4.3311114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.20961171
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