TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13047683
Played Aug 31Finished
Oskar Sokolowski
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14121153116111210
Igor Szymanski
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 75.3% is still 75.3%
Graded at full timeOskar Sokolowski to win
75.3%
75.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOskar Sokolowski above · Igor Szymanski below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Oskar Sokolowski at 75.3%
95 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Sokolowski 7–1 Igor Szymanski Igor Szymanski has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Sokolowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1229 vs Szymanski 1195
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 60% vs Szymanski 40%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 60% vs Szymanski 40%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -1 · Szymanski -3
Szymanski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Sokolowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.33 / Szymanski 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Sokolowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13047683
Sokolowski1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 29 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it77% 20 of 26
Szymanski3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog22% won 71 of 319
Down 0–1, comes back12% 25 of 218
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSokolowski7wins
AwaySzymanski1wins
1 of 8 to a deciderSokolowski leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski100%6 of 6
AwaySzymanskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski6Szymanski2n = 8Sokolowski took 6 of 8
S2Sokolowski6Szymanski2n = 8Sokolowski took 6 of 8
S3Sokolowski7Szymanski1n = 8Sokolowski took 7 of 8
S4Sokolowski4Szymanski0n = 4Sokolowski took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home450%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSokolowskiSzymanskiSokolowski − SzymanskiBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match39.129.0+10.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 331 vs 80 / 34532.6%23.2%108 / 331 vs 80 / 345Avg sets wonper match1.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.433.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSokolowski 1.33/Szymanski 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.3%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 3 · 23:45O. Sokolowski—1111113I. Szymanski—8590
WJul 3 · 15:50O. Sokolowski—13811113I. Szymanski—1111771
WJun 30 · 13:30O. Sokolowski—1113113I. Szymanski—71140
WJun 30 · 07:20O. Sokolowski—81111143I. Szymanski—1182121
LJun 27 · 08:45O. Sokolowski—81161192I. Szymanski—117113113
WJun 26 · 13:30O. Sokolowski—1111113I. Szymanski—6860
WJun 26 · 07:20O. Sokolowski—1311113I. Szymanski—11570
WJun 13 · 08:20O. Sokolowski—11911143I. Szymanski—6114121
O. Sokolowski10
LAug 31 · 13:55K. Schaniel1.571110116113O. Sokolowski2.2591281182LAug 31 · 13:05P. Brozek1.401111113O. Sokolowski2.758480WAug 31 · 12:15O. Sokolowski1.36111111173I. Szymanski3.004137151LAug 31 · 10:35O. Sokolowski3.7511139792W. Wojtaszczyk1.255111111113WAug 31 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.5051171192O. Sokolowski2.50115115113LAug 31 · 06:55O. Sokolowski2.63814391P. Brozek1.44111211113WAug 31 · 05:40O. Sokolowski2.3881312113P. Przewlocki1.5311111081LAug 31 · 04:10O. Sokolowski2.259118101K. Schaniel1.5711411123WAug 31 · 03:00O. Sokolowski4.3311114113W. Wojtaszczyk1.20961171WAug 27 · 08:45P. Kurek1.4079110O. Sokolowski2.701111133
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LAug 31 · 12:15O. Sokolowski1.36111111173I. Szymanski3.004137151
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