TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058775
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111191164111012
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:13 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Jakub Kaczmarek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 54.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 15–12 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-12 in 27
Przewlocki
Wrong
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1309 vs Kaczmarek 1326
Kaczmarek
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 40% vs Kaczmarek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Kaczmarek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -3 · Kaczmarek -1
Przewlocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.53 / Kaczmarek 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Przewlocki)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13058775
Przewlocki1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 134 of 227
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it74% 88 of 119
Kaczmarek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 159 of 487
Down 0–1, comes back19% 59 of 318
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwayKaczmarek5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki57.1%4 of 7
AwayKaczmarek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki7Kaczmarek3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S2Przewlocki5Kaczmarek5n = 10split evenly
S3Przewlocki3Kaczmarek7n = 10Kaczmarek took 7 of 10
S4Przewlocki6Kaczmarek3n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S5Przewlocki3Kaczmarek4n = 7Kaczmarek took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiKaczmarekP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.644.6+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime508 / 1076 vs 465 / 128247.2%36.3%508 / 1076 vs 465 / 1282Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.53/Kaczmarek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 06:55P. Przewlocki—1131111113J. Kaczmarek—51181322
LAug 24 · 09:25P. Przewlocki—11671192J. Kaczmarek—711116113
WAug 24 · 03:25P. Przewlocki—111113113J. Kaczmarek—881561
LAug 5 · 09:50P. Przewlocki—11124892J. Kaczmarek—9101111113
WAug 5 · 05:40P. Przewlocki—119911123J. Kaczmarek—911119102
LAug 3 · 14:40P. Przewlocki—119861J. Kaczmarek—81111113
WJul 15 · 02:35P. Przewlocki—1114113J. Kaczmarek—91290
LJul 14 · 18:10P. Przewlocki—7111311112J. Kaczmarek—114159133
LJun 24 · 03:10P. Przewlocki—81181192J. Kaczmarek—118119113
WJun 22 · 12:15P. Przewlocki—1191111113J. Kaczmarek—13118892
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113WSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Jadach1.2511819113J. Kaczmarek3.757111731WSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 11:05O. Jadach1.301113153J. Kaczmarek3.20811130LSep 4 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.3591131172S. Szostok1.27119119113WSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113WSep 4 · 07:30W. Tobiasz1.601281081J. Kaczmarek2.10101112113LSep 4 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.251111113J. Kaczmarek3.509380
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
J. Kaczmarek
Sep 7 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek2.10W. Urban1.67—Sep 7 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek4.00K. Hetnar1.22—Sep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00M. Adamus1.73—Sep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.20P. Przewlocki1.61—Sep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—M. Adamus——Sep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek—K. Hetnar——Sep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—A. Ruszkiewicz——Sep 8 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek—R. Skotniczny——Sep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek—M. Cesarz——
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