TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058633
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71181113111191012
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:43 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 103 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Piotr Brozek at 61.6%
103 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 3–1 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Brozek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1407 vs Przewlocki 1320
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -1 · Przewlocki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.50 / Przewlocki 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Brozek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13058633
Brozek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Przewlocki2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 121 of 314
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBrozek3wins
AwayPrzewlocki1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderBrozek leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek2Przewlocki2n = 4split evenly
S2Brozek2Przewlocki2n = 4split evenly
S3Brozek3Przewlocki1n = 4Brozek took 3 of 4
S4Brozek4Przewlocki0n = 4Brozek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBrozekPrzewlockiB − PBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match44.039.8+4.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 150 vs 509 / 107853.3%47.2%80 / 150 vs 509 / 1078Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.50/Przewlocki 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 2 · 10:10P. Brozek—12119113P. Przewlocki—1071191
LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek—781311102P. Przewlocki—1111119123
WAug 31 · 11:50P. Brozek—91111113P. Przewlocki—116491
WAug 31 · 03:50P. Brozek—11911113P. Przewlocki—911991
P. Brozek10
LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113WSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek1.91681111113K. Adamus1.8011116952LAug 31 · 14:40P. Brozek1.1151111892I. Szymanski6.00117411113
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113WSep 2 · 06:55J. Kaczmarek2.2051181322P. Przewlocki1.611131111113
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