TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13062253
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4119111210811––
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:33 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Kacper Adamus below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Kacper Adamus at 59.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 1–2 Kacper Adamus Piotr Brozek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:33What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1416 vs Adamus 1445
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Adamus 40%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 50% vs Adamus 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -2 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.80 / Adamus 1.86
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adamus)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13062253
Brozek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Adamus1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 118 of 242
Down 0–1, comes back23% 27 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrozek1wins
AwayAdamus2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderAdamus leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek1Adamus2n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
S2Brozek0Adamus3n = 3Adamus took 3 of 3
S3Brozek2Adamus1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
S4Brozek2Adamus1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrozekAdamusB − ABasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match47.349.0−1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 145 vs 927 / 171453.8%54.1%78 / 145 vs 927 / 1714Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusBrozek 1.80/Adamus 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek—681111113K. Adamus—11116952
LMay 6 · 15:55P. Brozek—991661K. Adamus—111114113
LMay 6 · 09:55P. Brozek—1610611122K. Adamus—1412117143
P. Brozek10
LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113WSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek1.91681111113K. Adamus1.8011116952LAug 31 · 14:40P. Brozek1.1151111892I. Szymanski6.00117411113
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek1.91681111113K. Adamus1.8011116952
Upcoming Matches
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K. Adamus
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