TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081175
Played Sep 5Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.66
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118811119511116
Jakub Jesiek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:40 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
118811119511116
H2H Kacper Adamus 4–0 Jakub Jesiek Jakub Jesiek has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:40What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (56%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Adamus
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1401 vs Jesiek 1362
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Jesiek 60%
Jesiek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 30% vs Jesiek 50%
Jesiek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Jesiek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jesiek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.66 / Jesiek 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Adamus)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13081175
Adamus1.66
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 360 of 590
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it78% 287 of 367
Jesiek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 77 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back29% 28 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeAdamus4wins
AwayJesiek0wins
3 of 4 to a deciderAdamus leads 4–0, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus2Jesiek2n = 4split evenly
S2Adamus2Jesiek2n = 4split evenly
S3Adamus3Jesiek1n = 4Adamus took 3 of 4
S4Adamus2Jesiek1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
S5Adamus3Jesiek0n = 3Adamus took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricAdamusJesiekA − JBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match45.239.0+6.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJesiekBasisWin rate · lifetime919 / 1704 vs 274 / 52353.9%52.4%919 / 1704 vs 274 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.66/Jesiek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus—118115113J. Jesiek—81191162
WAug 18 · 04:50K. Adamus—7111011113J. Jesiek—11912932
WOct 30 · 22:10K. Adamus—1061411113J. Jesiek—121112722
WOct 30 · 17:50K. Adamus—1111113J. Jesiek—8780
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181WSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891
J. Jesiek10
WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123LSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113LSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670WSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113LSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281WSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
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