TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073083
Played Sep 3Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116811118119––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:13 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
116811118119––
H2H Kacper Adamus 37–18 Grzegorz Jurowicz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 18 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-18 in 55
Adamus
Correct
gap of 19 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1438 vs Jurowicz 1243
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Jurowicz 20%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Jurowicz 30%
Adamus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Jurowicz -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.33 / Jurowicz 2.95
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Adamus)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13073083
Adamus1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 357 of 587
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it78% 285 of 366
Jurowicz2.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus8wins
AwayJurowicz2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus87.5%7 of 8
AwayJurowiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus8Jurowicz2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Adamus4Jurowicz6n = 10Jurowicz took 6 of 10
S3Adamus6Jurowicz4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Adamus6Jurowicz1n = 7Adamus took 6 of 7
S5Adamus4Jurowicz2n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusJurowiczA − JBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.639.4+3.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime928 / 1713 vs 314 / 79554.2%39.5%928 / 1713 vs 314 / 795Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.33/Jurowicz 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.9%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 16:20K. Adamus—1111133G. Jurowicz—77110
WAug 5 · 06:45K. Adamus—127611113G. Jurowicz—101111652
WJul 8 · 15:55K. Adamus—119711143G. Jurowicz—511116122
WJul 8 · 09:55K. Adamus—1111113G. Jurowicz—6590
LJun 23 · 14:45K. Adamus—87121182G. Jurowicz—1111109113
WJun 23 · 11:05K. Adamus—1111811123G. Jurowicz—137116102
WJun 10 · 13:10K. Adamus—111111113G. Jurowicz—913991
WJun 10 · 05:30K. Adamus—119711113G. Jurowicz—91111972
WJun 2 · 14:45K. Adamus—1111123G. Jurowicz—86100
LJun 2 · 11:05K. Adamus—11411252G. Jurowicz—911911113
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 18:25S. Szostok1.3512511113G. Jurowicz2.801011661WSep 3 · 17:10J. Kaczmarek1.909750G. Jurowicz1.761111113LSep 3 · 15:35K. Hetnar1.261111113G. Jurowicz3.405670LAug 14 · 13:55G. Jurowicz4.0011890W. Wojtaszczyk1.221311113
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