TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073090
Played Sep 3Finished
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Home
3.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711114611––
Marek Tkocz
Away
1.27
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:11 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
811711114611––
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 4–4 Marek Tkocz Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Tkocz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1249 vs Tkocz 1452
Tkocz
Correct
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 20% vs Tkocz 40%
Tkocz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 30% vs Tkocz 60%
Tkocz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz -1 · Tkocz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Tkocz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkocz form (40%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 3.30 / Tkocz 1.27
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Tkocz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13073090
Jurowicz3.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 82
Tkocz1.27
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 320 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 181 of 190
Up 1–0, closes it84% 262 of 311
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeJurowicz4wins
AwayTkocz4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowicz100%3 of 3
AwayTkocz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz3Tkocz5n = 8Tkocz took 5 of 8
S2Jurowicz3Tkocz5n = 8Tkocz took 5 of 8
S3Jurowicz4Tkocz4n = 8split evenly
S4Jurowicz2Tkocz5n = 7Tkocz took 5 of 7
S5Jurowicz3Tkocz0n = 3Jurowicz took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricJurowiczTkoczJ − TBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match35.039.8−4.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 794 vs 755 / 112639.6%67.1%314 / 794 vs 755 / 1126Avg sets wonper match1.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczJurowicz 3.30/Tkocz 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Tkocz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WDec 25 · 14:55G. Jurowicz—116114113M. Tkocz—71161172
LDec 25 · 06:30G. Jurowicz—411751M. Tkocz—11511113
LDec 24 · 01:00G. Jurowicz—512581M. Tkocz—111011113
WDec 23 · 20:35G. Jurowicz—11811113M. Tkocz—711841
LJun 23 · 15:55G. Jurowicz—521241M. Tkocz—111110113
WJun 23 · 09:55G. Jurowicz—581111113M. Tkocz—11115982
WJun 9 · 11:30G. Jurowicz—111134113M. Tkocz—59111162
LJun 9 · 07:10G. Jurowicz—99120M. Tkocz—1111143
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891LSep 3 · 18:25S. Szostok1.3512511113G. Jurowicz2.801011661WSep 3 · 17:10J. Kaczmarek1.909750G. Jurowicz1.761111113LSep 3 · 15:35K. Hetnar1.261111113G. Jurowicz3.405670LAug 14 · 13:55G. Jurowicz4.0011890W. Wojtaszczyk1.221311113
M. Tkocz10
LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151WSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113LSep 3 · 17:35K. Hetnar2.051111133M. Tkocz1.6699110WSep 3 · 16:50S. Szostok1.93713761M. Tkocz1.77111111113LSep 3 · 15:10K. Adamus2.03111178113M. Tkocz1.6787111162LSep 2 · 02:00J. Nowak2.1011611113M. Tkocz1.65911791
Upcoming Matches
G. Jurowicz
Nothing scheduled
M. Tkocz1 of 4 neutral
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