TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074507
Played Sep 4Finished
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Home
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115119––––
Marek Tkocz
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:02 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
117115119––––
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 4–5 Marek Tkocz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Tkocz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-5 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1257 vs Tkocz 1446
Tkocz
Wrong
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 20% vs Tkocz 60%
Tkocz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 20% vs Tkocz 50%
Tkocz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz -1 · Tkocz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkocz form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 2.95 / Tkocz 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Tkocz)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13074507
Jurowicz2.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 82
Tkocz1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 320 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 181 of 190
Up 1–0, closes it84% 262 of 311
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJurowicz4wins
AwayTkocz5wins
3 of 9 to a deciderTkocz leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowicz100%3 of 3
AwayTkocz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz3Tkocz6n = 9Tkocz took 6 of 9
S2Jurowicz3Tkocz6n = 9Tkocz took 6 of 9
S3Jurowicz5Tkocz4n = 9Jurowicz took 5 of 9
S4Jurowicz2Tkocz6n = 8Tkocz took 6 of 8
S5Jurowicz3Tkocz0n = 3Jurowicz took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricJurowiczTkoczJ − TBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match34.739.4−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 798 vs 758 / 113139.5%67%315 / 798 vs 758 / 1131Avg sets wonper match1.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczJurowicz 2.95/Tkocz 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.1%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz—871161M. Tkocz—11114113
WDec 25 · 14:55G. Jurowicz—116114113M. Tkocz—71161172
LDec 25 · 06:30G. Jurowicz—411751M. Tkocz—11511113
LDec 24 · 01:00G. Jurowicz—512581M. Tkocz—111011113
WDec 23 · 20:35G. Jurowicz—11811113M. Tkocz—711841
LJun 23 · 15:55G. Jurowicz—521241M. Tkocz—111110113
WJun 23 · 09:55G. Jurowicz—581111113M. Tkocz—11115982
WJun 9 · 11:30G. Jurowicz—111134113M. Tkocz—59111162
LJun 9 · 07:10G. Jurowicz—99120M. Tkocz—1111143
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 18:25S. Szostok1.3512511113G. Jurowicz2.801011661WSep 3 · 17:10J. Kaczmarek1.909750G. Jurowicz1.761111113LSep 3 · 15:35K. Hetnar1.261111113G. Jurowicz3.405670LAug 14 · 13:55G. Jurowicz4.0011890W. Wojtaszczyk1.221311113
M. Tkocz10
LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151WSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113WSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 17:35K. Hetnar2.051111133M. Tkocz1.6699110WSep 3 · 16:50S. Szostok1.93713761M. Tkocz1.77111111113LSep 3 · 15:10K. Adamus2.03111178113M. Tkocz1.6787111162LSep 2 · 02:00J. Nowak2.1011611113M. Tkocz1.65911791
Upcoming Matches
G. Jurowicz
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M. Tkocz1 of 4 neutral
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