TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071914
Played Sep 3Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.26
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116117––––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
115116117––––
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 8–8 Grzegorz Jurowicz Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (73%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1535 vs Jurowicz 1246
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 289 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 60% vs Jurowicz 20%
Hetnar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 60% vs Jurowicz 30%
Hetnar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar +2 · Jurowicz -4
Jurowicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.26 / Jurowicz 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Hetnar)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13071914
Hetnar1.26
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 256 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it98% 143 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 211 of 248
Jurowicz3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar6wins
AwayJurowicz4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar83.3%5 of 6
AwayJurowicz75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar6Jurowicz4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S2Hetnar6Jurowicz4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S3Hetnar5Jurowicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Hetnar3Jurowicz4n = 7Jurowicz took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarJurowiczH − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.532.7+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime720 / 1166 vs 317 / 80161.8%39.6%720 / 1166 vs 317 / 801Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.635.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.26/Jurowicz 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 11:25K. Hetnar—11711113G. Jurowicz—611641
LAug 14 · 05:15K. Hetnar—7890G. Jurowicz—1111113
WAug 7 · 13:55K. Hetnar—1111113G. Jurowicz—9750
LAug 7 · 05:40K. Hetnar—7111071G. Jurowicz—11612113
LJul 8 · 11:55K. Hetnar—411761G. Jurowicz—11511113
LJul 8 · 05:55K. Hetnar—116591G. Jurowicz—71111113
WJul 6 · 13:55K. Hetnar—811111113G. Jurowicz—11821182
WJul 6 · 07:55K. Hetnar—11611113G. Jurowicz—911571
WMay 7 · 11:30K. Hetnar—11116113G. Jurowicz—851171
WMay 7 · 07:10K. Hetnar—1111123G. Jurowicz—87100
K. Hetnar10
LSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121LSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861LSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130WSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123LSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113WSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852WSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113LSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 18:25S. Szostok1.3512511113G. Jurowicz2.801011661WSep 3 · 17:10J. Kaczmarek1.909750G. Jurowicz1.761111113LAug 14 · 13:55G. Jurowicz4.0011890W. Wojtaszczyk1.221311113
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