TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12423844
Played Aug 14Finished
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113811911––––
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 80.1% is still 80.1%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
80.1%
80.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Jurowicz above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 63 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 80.1%
63 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Jurowicz 0–4 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1246 vs Wojtaszczyk 1432
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 40% vs Wojtaszczyk 80%
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 30% vs Wojtaszczyk 80%
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz -3 · Wojtaszczyk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 4.00 / Wojtaszczyk 1.22
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12423844
Jurowicz4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 111 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 87
Wojtaszczyk1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite71% won 354 of 501
Up 2–0, closes it96% 189 of 196
Up 1–0, closes it86% 280 of 327
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJurowicz0wins
AwayWojtaszczyk4wins
Wojtaszczyk leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJurowiczn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayWojtaszczyk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jurowicz0Wojtaszczyk4n = 4Wojtaszczyk took 4 of 4
S2Jurowicz2Wojtaszczyk2n = 4split evenly
S3Jurowicz1Wojtaszczyk3n = 4Wojtaszczyk took 3 of 4
S4Jurowicz0Wojtaszczyk3n = 3Wojtaszczyk took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricJurowiczWojtaszczykJ − WBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match27.839.5−11.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 851 vs 491 / 71238.8%69%330 / 851 vs 491 / 712Avg sets wonper match1.72.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.638.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykJurowicz 4.00/Wojtaszczyk 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.6%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 14 · 11:55G. Jurowicz—681381W. Wojtaszczyk—111111113
LJul 10 · 09:00G. Jurowicz—313351W. Wojtaszczyk—111111113
LJul 10 · 04:30G. Jurowicz—811981W. Wojtaszczyk—11411113
LDec 25 · 08:55G. Jurowicz—5650W. Wojtaszczyk—1111113
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 18:25S. Szostok1.3512511113G. Jurowicz2.801011661WSep 3 · 17:10J. Kaczmarek1.909750G. Jurowicz1.761111113LSep 3 · 15:35K. Hetnar1.261111113G. Jurowicz3.405670
W. Wojtaszczyk10
LSep 6 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.901011124113W. Wojtaszczyk1.34127101142WSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.258611101W. Wojtaszczyk1.5711115123LSep 6 · 11:30K. Slawinski1.73511712113W. Wojtaszczyk2.00119111092WSep 6 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.60108100W. Wojtaszczyk1.441211123LSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101LSep 6 · 07:10K. Slawinski1.47101111133W. Wojtaszczyk2.451265111LSep 6 · 05:30R. Piechnik—1112133W. Wojtaszczyk—410110
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