TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13072820
Played Sep 3Finished
Sebastian Szostok
Home
1.35
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210511116116––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1210511116116––
H2H Sebastian Szostok 10–4 Grzegorz Jurowicz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-4 in 14
Szostok
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szostok 1338 vs Jurowicz 1259
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szostok 20% vs Jurowicz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szostok 20% vs Jurowicz 40%
Jurowicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szostok -3 · Jurowicz +1
Szostok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Szostok) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 1.35 / Jurowicz 2.80
Signal prob.72% / 29%
Edge (Szostok)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13072820
Szostok1.35
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 327 of 513
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it78% 213 of 274
Jurowicz2.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok6wins
AwayJurowicz4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok75%6 of 8
AwayJurowiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok8Jurowicz2n = 10Szostok took 8 of 10
S2Szostok6Jurowicz4n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S3Szostok5Jurowicz5n = 10split evenly
S4Szostok5Jurowicz4n = 9Szostok took 5 of 9
S5Szostok1Jurowicz3n = 4Jurowicz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokJurowiczS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.639.7+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime929 / 1569 vs 314 / 79359.2%39.6%929 / 1569 vs 314 / 793Avg sets wonper match2.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.435.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokSzostok 1.35/Jurowicz 2.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.5%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 8 · 08:45S. Szostok—711119102G. Jurowicz—117511123
LApr 9 · 16:40S. Szostok—12781162G. Jurowicz—1011118113
WApr 9 · 10:40S. Szostok—11137153G. Jurowicz—61111131
WDec 16 · 15:45S. Szostok—1111113G. Jurowicz—8380
WDec 3 · 16:30S. Szostok—1114128113G. Jurowicz—716101182
LDec 3 · 10:30S. Szostok—611481G. Jurowicz—11811113
WOct 15 · 15:40S. Szostok—11157113G. Jurowicz—6131151
WOct 15 · 09:30S. Szostok—11118133G. Jurowicz—9511111
LSep 4 · 11:55S. Szostok—11911842G. Jurowicz—711111113
WSep 4 · 05:55S. Szostok—11711113G. Jurowicz—811791
S. Szostok10
WSep 7 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.8511891142S. Szostok1.85511118113LSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok2.2011311113P. Jedrzejak1.611111351LSep 5 · 11:50S. Szostok1.837640J. Wieczerzak1.831111113WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.9111611113Z. Sobkow1.80511631LSep 5 · 09:00S. Szostok2.109911101W. Wojtaszczyk1.6711115123WSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113WSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113WSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113WSep 3 · 17:10J. Kaczmarek1.909750G. Jurowicz1.761111113LSep 3 · 15:35K. Hetnar1.261111113G. Jurowicz3.405670LAug 14 · 13:55G. Jurowicz4.0011890W. Wojtaszczyk1.221311113
Upcoming Matches
S. Szostok1 of 3 neutral
G. Jurowicz
Nothing scheduled
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