TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074433
Played Sep 4Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.35
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911811121012101012
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:49 and never touched — 75.4% is still 75.4%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
75.4%
75.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
105 points played in total.
Set by set
911811121012101012
H2H Kacper Adamus 38–19 Grzegorz Jurowicz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 19 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (69%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-19 in 57
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 19 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1390 vs Jurowicz 1295
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Jurowicz 20%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Jurowicz 20%
Adamus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -2 · Jurowicz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.35 / Jurowicz 2.95
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Adamus)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13074433
Adamus1.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 357 of 587
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it78% 285 of 366
Jurowicz2.95
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 98 of 258
Down 0–1, comes back20% 30 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus8wins
AwayJurowicz2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%7 of 7
AwayJurowicz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Jurowicz3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Adamus3Jurowicz7n = 10Jurowicz took 7 of 10
S3Adamus6Jurowicz4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Adamus8Jurowicz0n = 8Adamus took 8 of 8
S5Adamus4Jurowicz2n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusJurowiczA − JBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.140.7+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime929 / 1718 vs 317 / 80054.1%39.6%929 / 1718 vs 317 / 800Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.35/Jurowicz 2.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.6%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus—981212102G. Jurowicz—11111010123
WSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus—11811113G. Jurowicz—611891
WAug 5 · 16:20K. Adamus—1111133G. Jurowicz—77110
WAug 5 · 06:45K. Adamus—127611113G. Jurowicz—101111652
WJul 8 · 15:55K. Adamus—119711143G. Jurowicz—511116122
WJul 8 · 09:55K. Adamus—1111113G. Jurowicz—6590
LJun 23 · 14:45K. Adamus—87121182G. Jurowicz—1111109113
WJun 23 · 11:05K. Adamus—1111811123G. Jurowicz—137116102
WJun 10 · 13:10K. Adamus—111111113G. Jurowicz—913991
WJun 10 · 05:30K. Adamus—119711113G. Jurowicz—91111972
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181WSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 18:25S. Szostok1.3512511113G. Jurowicz2.801011661WSep 3 · 17:10J. Kaczmarek1.909750G. Jurowicz1.761111113LSep 3 · 15:35K. Hetnar1.261111113G. Jurowicz3.405670LAug 14 · 13:55G. Jurowicz4.0011890W. Wojtaszczyk1.221311113
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