TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077897
Played Sep 5Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9118111171412911
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
2.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
9118111171412911
H2H Kacper Adamus 11–1 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 1 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-1 in 12
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 10 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1393 vs Sokolowski 1435
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 20% vs Sokolowski 80%
Sokolowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 40% vs Sokolowski 80%
Sokolowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.35 / Sokolowski 2.80
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Adamus)+3.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13077897
Adamus1.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 359 of 592
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it78% 286 of 367
Sokolowski2.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 106 of 297
Down 0–1, comes back19% 34 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus9wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus90%9 of 10
AwaySokolowskin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus10Sokolowski0n = 10Adamus took 10 of 10
S2Adamus9Sokolowski1n = 10Adamus took 9 of 10
S3Adamus8Sokolowski2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home880%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusSokolowskiA − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match35.220.3+14.9per matchSweeps80+83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime930 / 1719 vs 210 / 49754.1%42.3%930 / 1719 vs 210 / 497Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.35/Sokolowski 2.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 15:05K. Adamus—11118113O. Sokolowski—281181
LSep 1 · 09:05K. Adamus—11991162O. Sokolowski—911116113
WAug 29 · 03:10K. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—6550
WJul 28 · 22:55K. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—7550
WJul 28 · 16:55K. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—4580
WJun 20 · 07:10K. Adamus—1111123O. Sokolowski—18100
WJun 6 · 06:00K. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—5170
WMay 30 · 13:10K. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—7270
WMay 30 · 05:30K. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—3540
WMay 23 · 08:45K. Adamus—1111113O. Sokolowski—3670
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181WSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.7311711123M. Adamus2.008119101WSep 4 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.4011118123A. Szurgot2.757711101WSep 4 · 16:15O. Sokolowski1.83111159113K. Schaniel1.8367111182WSep 4 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.501011611113P. Gumulinski1.5012811652WSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371
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