TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076460
Played Sep 4Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116117511911118
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOliwier Sokolowski above · Krzysztof Schaniel below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 90 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oliwier Sokolowski at 64.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 1–2 Krzysztof Schaniel Oliwier Sokolowski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1448 vs Schaniel 1328
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 80% vs Schaniel 40%
Sokolowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 70% vs Schaniel 50%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +3 · Schaniel +1
Sokolowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.83 / Schaniel 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sokolowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13076460
Sokolowski1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Schaniel1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSokolowski1wins
AwaySchaniel2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSchaniel leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski1Schaniel2n = 3Schaniel took 2 of 3
S2Sokolowski1Schaniel2n = 3Schaniel took 2 of 3
S3Sokolowski2Schaniel1n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
S4Sokolowski0Schaniel3n = 3Schaniel took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSokolowskiSchanielSokolowski − SchanielBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.340.0−0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 496 vs 869 / 173442.3%50.1%210 / 496 vs 869 / 1734Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSokolowski 1.83/Schaniel 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 4 · 16:35O. Sokolowski—1061181K. Schaniel—12115113
LJul 1 · 09:00O. Sokolowski—6131171K. Schaniel—11157113
WJul 1 · 04:30O. Sokolowski—111158113K. Schaniel—45111162
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.7311711123M. Adamus2.008119101WSep 4 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.4011118123A. Szurgot2.757711101WSep 4 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.501011611113P. Gumulinski1.5012811652WSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371
K. Schaniel10
LSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113WSep 5 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.611111113G. Sawicki2.205670
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