TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077896
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Jesiek
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116611116711119
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
116611116711119
H2H Jakub Jesiek 4–2 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (53%)
Sokolowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Jesiek
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jesiek 1359 vs Sokolowski 1444
Sokolowski
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jesiek 60% vs Sokolowski 80%
Sokolowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jesiek 50% vs Sokolowski 80%
Sokolowski
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jesiek +1 · Sokolowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJesiek 1.95 / Sokolowski 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sokolowski)+0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13077896
Jesiek1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 70 of 156
Down 0–1, comes back29% 26 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 47
Sokolowski1.70
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 74 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeJesiek4wins
AwaySokolowski2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderJesiek leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJesiek75%3 of 4
AwaySokolowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jesiek4Sokolowski2n = 6Jesiek took 4 of 6
S2Jesiek4Sokolowski2n = 6Jesiek took 4 of 6
S3Jesiek4Sokolowski2n = 6Jesiek took 4 of 6
S4Jesiek3Sokolowski1n = 4Jesiek took 3 of 4
S5Jesiek1Sokolowski2n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricJesiekSokolowskiJ − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.335.0+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJesiekSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 504 vs 211 / 49852.8%42.4%266 / 504 vs 211 / 498Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiJesiek 1.95/Sokolowski 1.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jesiek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 19 · 07:10J. Jesiek—1112113O. Sokolowski—91060
WJun 21 · 11:00J. Jesiek—731112113O. Sokolowski—111151092
WJun 21 · 04:55J. Jesiek—11125113O. Sokolowski—4101181
LJun 14 · 22:25J. Jesiek—119101172O. Sokolowski—611124113
WApr 25 · 07:10J. Jesiek—1111113O. Sokolowski—4850
LJan 10 · 09:20J. Jesiek—51111982O. Sokolowski—117511113
J. Jesiek10
WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123LSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113LSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670WSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113LSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281WSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.7311711123M. Adamus2.008119101WSep 4 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.4011118123A. Szurgot2.757711101WSep 4 · 16:15O. Sokolowski1.83111159113K. Schaniel1.8367111182WSep 4 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.501011611113P. Gumulinski1.5012811652WSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371
Upcoming Matches
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