TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077895
Played Sep 5Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
2.24
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9115111012––––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
9115111012––––
H2H Rafal Adach 1–2 Oliwier Sokolowski Rafal Adach has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adach 1163 vs Sokolowski 1431
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 268 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 20% vs Sokolowski 60%
Sokolowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 20% vs Sokolowski 70%
Sokolowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -2 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 2.24 / Sokolowski 1.55
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Sokolowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077895
Adach2.24
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 85 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Sokolowski1.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 74 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 54 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAdach1wins
AwaySokolowski2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSokolowski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adach2Sokolowski1n = 3Adach took 2 of 3
S2Adach2Sokolowski1n = 3Adach took 2 of 3
S3Adach1Sokolowski2n = 3Sokolowski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricAdachSokolowskiA − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.331.7+3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 558 vs 211 / 49941%42.3%229 / 558 vs 211 / 499Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.636.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiAdach 2.24/Sokolowski 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LApr 4 · 06:25R. Adach—111110962O. Sokolowski—561211113
WMar 15 · 24:55R. Adach—1111113O. Sokolowski—4940
LMar 14 · 18:55R. Adach—9980O. Sokolowski—1111113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.7311711123M. Adamus2.008119101WSep 4 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.4011118123A. Szurgot2.757711101WSep 4 · 16:15O. Sokolowski1.83111159113K. Schaniel1.8367111182WSep 4 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.501011611113P. Gumulinski1.5012811652WSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371
Upcoming Matches
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