TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085965
Played Sep 6Finished
Lukasz Bernacki
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111214711––––
Rafal Adach
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:47 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeRafal Adach to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
7111214711––––
H2H Lukasz Bernacki 1–0 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Adach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bernacki 1387 vs Adach 1252
Bernacki
Wrong
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bernacki 40% vs Adach 80%
Adach
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bernacki 60% vs Adach 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bernacki -1 · Adach +3
Adach
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bernacki) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 1.85 / Adach 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bernacki)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13085965
Bernacki1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 46 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Adach1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 46 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it81% 30 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it67% 38 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBernacki1wins
AwayAdach0wins
Bernacki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBernackiAdachB − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.038.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 528 vs 236 / 57051.9%41.4%274 / 528 vs 236 / 570Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.534.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BernackiBernacki 1.85/Adach 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bernacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki—81112113R. Adach—1191081
L. Bernacki10
LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki1.5181112113R. Adach2.331191081LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113WSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162LSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki1.5181112113R. Adach2.331191081
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