TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078450
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrzej Szurgot
Home
3.05
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111311411711––
Lukasz Bernacki
Away
1.31
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:02 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeLukasz Bernacki to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
3111311411711––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:02What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (70%)
Bernacki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Szurgot 1146 vs Bernacki 1402
Bernacki
Correct
both rated, 256 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szurgot 0% vs Bernacki 60%
Bernacki
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szurgot 20% vs Bernacki 60%
Bernacki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szurgot -5 · Bernacki +1
Szurgot
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Bernacki) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bernacki form (60%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzurgot 3.05 / Bernacki 1.31
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Bernacki)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13078450
Szurgot3.05
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog19% won 8 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Bernacki1.31
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 65 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 51 of 63
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzurgotBernackiBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 60 vs 269 / 51920%51.8%12 / 60 vs 269 / 519Avg sets wonper match1.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match31.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
BernackiSzurgot 3.05/Bernacki 1.31
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Bernacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bernacki won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Szurgot10
LSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133LSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 19:30A. Szurgot2.203590R. Adach1.571111113LSep 5 · 02:10A. Szurgot5.5010711101P. Gumulinski1.1312113123
L. Bernacki10
LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki1.5181112113R. Adach2.331191081LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631
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