TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084511
Played Sep 5Finished
Robert Szymik
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511151310121412119
Lukasz Bernacki
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Bernacki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
112 points played in total.
Set by set
511151310121412119
H2H Robert Szymik 6–3 Lukasz Bernacki Lukasz Bernacki has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Szymik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Szymik
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1366 vs Bernacki 1412
Bernacki
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 40% vs Bernacki 80%
Bernacki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 50% vs Bernacki 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik +1 · Bernacki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bernacki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.80 / Bernacki 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szymik)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13084511
Szymik1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 278 of 399
Up 2–0, closes it95% 162 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it84% 213 of 254
Bernacki1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSzymik6wins
AwayBernacki3wins
4 of 9 to a deciderSzymik leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymik66.7%4 of 6
AwayBernacki33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymik6Bernacki3n = 9Szymik took 6 of 9
S2Szymik7Bernacki2n = 9Szymik took 7 of 9
S3Szymik6Bernacki3n = 9Szymik took 6 of 9
S4Szymik2Bernacki3n = 5Bernacki took 3 of 5
S5Szymik2Bernacki2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSzymikBernackiS − BBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match40.832.8+8.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikBernackiBasisWin rate · lifetime622 / 951 vs 272 / 52365.4%52%622 / 951 vs 272 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.80/Bernacki 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 5 · 24:45R. Szymik—1111113L. Bernacki—4330
WSep 4 · 21:05R. Szymik—915912113L. Bernacki—1113111062
WNov 23 · 04:05R. Szymik—1111113L. Bernacki—7450
LNov 22 · 22:05R. Szymik—1111910102L. Bernacki—931112123
WNov 22 · 04:05R. Szymik—1111113L. Bernacki—4380
LNov 21 · 22:05R. Szymik—1091181L. Bernacki—12118113
WNov 8 · 01:45R. Szymik—811911113L. Bernacki—11911822
LNov 7 · 23:20R. Szymik—11311692L. Bernacki—911911113
WJul 7 · 18:20R. Szymik—1111113L. Bernacki—9940
R. Szymik10
WSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 18:45R. Wiza3.752470R. Szymik1.211111113LSep 5 · 17:55R. Szymik1.26811681R. Adach3.3511611113LSep 5 · 04:20R. Szymik1.28611101152R. Wiza3.25118126113
L. Bernacki10
LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki1.5181112113R. Adach2.331191081LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113WSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631
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