TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081453
Played Sep 5Finished
Robert Szymik
Home
1.26
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811116611811––
Rafal Adach
Away
3.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:48 and never touched — 66.4% is still 66.4%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
66.4%
66.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
811116611811––
H2H Robert Szymik 40–19 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 19 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (73%)
Szymik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-19 in 59
Szymik
Wrong
gap of 21 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1377 vs Adach 1172
Szymik
Wrong
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 60% vs Adach 20%
Szymik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 60% vs Adach 30%
Szymik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik -2 · Adach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymik form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.26 / Adach 3.35
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Szymik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13081453
Szymik1.26
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 278 of 399
Up 2–0, closes it95% 162 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it84% 213 of 254
Adach3.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 85 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymik4wins
AwayAdach6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderAdach leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymik60%3 of 5
AwayAdach80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymik5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S2Szymik3Adach7n = 10Adach took 7 of 10
S3Szymik6Adach4n = 10Szymik took 6 of 10
S4Szymik4Adach4n = 8split evenly
S5Szymik2Adach3n = 5Adach took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymikAdachS − ABasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.541.7−0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime622 / 950 vs 230 / 56165.5%41%622 / 950 vs 230 / 561Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.034.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.26/Adach 3.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 17:55R. Szymik—991191R. Adach—11119113
WAug 21 · 23:55R. Szymik—11611113R. Adach—911471
WAug 21 · 17:55R. Szymik—1111113R. Adach—2580
WJul 19 · 01:55R. Szymik—1112612113R. Adach—910111472
LJul 18 · 19:55R. Szymik—11811672R. Adach—611811113
LJul 18 · 01:55R. Szymik—89110R. Adach—1111133
LJul 17 · 19:55R. Szymik—1015991R. Adach—121311113
LJul 12 · 24:45R. Szymik—131611102R. Adach—1111118123
LJul 11 · 22:20R. Szymik—48121172R. Adach—1111106113
WJun 28 · 24:45R. Szymik—1091511113R. Adach—121113922
R. Szymik10
WSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 18:45R. Wiza3.752470R. Szymik1.211111113LSep 5 · 04:20R. Szymik1.28611101152R. Wiza3.25118126113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
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