TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084912
Played Sep 5Finished
Robert Szymik
Home
1.23
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012117811116
Rafal Adach
Away
3.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1181012117811116
H2H Robert Szymik 40–21 Rafal Adach Rafal Adach has won 21 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:33What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.23 (75%)
Szymik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-21 in 61
Szymik
Correct
gap of 19 in 61, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1379 vs Adach 1211
Szymik
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 60% vs Adach 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 60% vs Adach 40%
Szymik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik +2 · Adach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.23 / Adach 3.65
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Szymik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13084912
Szymik1.23
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 278 of 399
Up 2–0, closes it95% 162 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it84% 213 of 254
Adach3.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 85 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymik3wins
AwayAdach7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdach leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymik60%3 of 5
AwayAdach100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymik5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S2Szymik4Adach6n = 10Adach took 6 of 10
S3Szymik4Adach6n = 10Adach took 6 of 10
S4Szymik2Adach5n = 7Adach took 5 of 7
S5Szymik1Adach2n = 3Adach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymikAdachS − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.5−2.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime621 / 950 vs 233 / 56665.4%41.2%621 / 950 vs 233 / 566Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.034.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.23/Adach 3.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.8%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 17:55R. Szymik—811681R. Adach—11611113
LAug 22 · 23:55R. Szymik—11940R. Adach—1311113
LAug 22 · 17:55R. Szymik—991191R. Adach—11119113
WAug 21 · 23:55R. Szymik—11611113R. Adach—911471
WAug 21 · 17:55R. Szymik—1111113R. Adach—2580
WJul 19 · 01:55R. Szymik—1112612113R. Adach—910111472
LJul 18 · 19:55R. Szymik—11811672R. Adach—611811113
LJul 18 · 01:55R. Szymik—89110R. Adach—1111133
LJul 17 · 19:55R. Szymik—1015991R. Adach—121311113
LJul 12 · 24:45R. Szymik—131611102R. Adach—1111118123
R. Szymik10
WSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 18:45R. Wiza3.752470R. Szymik1.211111113LSep 5 · 17:55R. Szymik1.26811681R. Adach3.3511611113LSep 5 · 04:20R. Szymik1.28611101152R. Wiza3.25118126113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 5 · 17:55R. Szymik1.26811681R. Adach3.3511611113
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